New research from Democracy Corps finds voters in GOP-held battleground districts conflicted about the financial rescue package. This survey of 1,600 likely voters in the 50 most competitive Republican-held Congressional districts shows that Democrats who support the rescue plan can hold their own against Republicans who oppose it, even in the Republican-leaning battleground.
Combined data from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Democracy Corps on the political environment.
In Democracy Corps’ national and presidential battleground surveys conducted this week among likely voters, Barack Obama has emerged with the first real, sustainable lead of the presidential race. Obama has taken a 4-point lead nationally, but more important, he leads by 6 points in the presidential battleground states (50 to 44 percent). This lead represents a 10-point swing in the battleground states that Kerry lost by 4 points in 2004 – a comparable swing to what congressional Democrats achieved in 2006.
From September 29–October 2, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1,421 likely voters in 50 GOP-held battleground disticts.
From September 29 to October 1, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 600 likely voters in Ohio.
From September 28–30, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1000 likely voters nationally and 1044 likely voters in the presidential battleground.
The latest Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner survey of the competitive battleground districts reveals an intensely angry electorate, even more sour on Republicans who have not distanced themselves enough from Bush and are now at risk even at the edge of the current map of competitive congressional seats. Democratic candidates are now ahead by 4 points in the 40 most vulnerable Republican seats, even in the bottom tier. A near majority of 48 percent in these Republican seats say they “can’t” vote to re-elect their Republican incumbent, while Democrats are ahead in the open seats.
From September 22–24, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1007 likely voters nationally and 1128 likely voters in the presidential battleground.
From September 22–24, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1007 likely voters nationally and 1128 likely voters in the presidential battleground.
From September 18–23, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1794 likely voters (1600 weighted) in 50 battleground districts.
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