From October 20 – 23, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1,750 likely voters (1,799 unweighted) in 55 Republican-held districts.
From October 21–23, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1000 likely voters.
The Democratic congressional candidates have made key gains in the fifty most vulnerable Republican seats over the last month, but an analysis of the almost 5,000 interviews shows that there are emerging targets that can tilt the balance further.
Barack Obama has no business winning in Georgia this year. Neither does U.S. Senate candidate Jim Martin. Yet both Democrats are within striking range in a state President Bush carried by 17 points in 2004, and where in the last six years Republicans replaced Democrats in both Senate seats, and won the governor’s office for the first time since Reconstruction. John McCain leads Barack Obama by just two points and Jim Martin trails incumbent Senator Saxby Chambliss by just 4 points, 44 – 48 percent.
Based on more than 3,000 interviews over the course of the past three weeks among likely voters in the key battleground states that will settle the Electoral College, this report shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by 9 points (51 to 42 percent) and significantly over performing Democrats’ 4-point edge on party identification. As the campaigns prepare their closing arguments, Stan Greenberg, James Carville and Ana Iparraguirre have identified the key groups that the Obama campaign needs to target in order to realize their potential, prevent erosion and mobilize supporters.
From October 15–19, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1,000 likely voters nationwide.
The latest congressional battleground survey by Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner finds that Democratic candidates have improved their standing and taken the lead, even closing in on the Republicans in the bottom tier of supposedly toughest seats. Democrats are poised to make stunning gains on a battlefield that is still expanding at the Republicans’ expense.
Young people stand poised to change this country. They deliver huge margins to Obama, are motivated to vote, reveal due appreciation for the seriousness of some of the challenges facing this country and have found an outlet—politics!—both for their commitment and their frustration. Turning out young people remains a huge progressive priority. Progressives also need to make sure, however, that the energy and commitment of this generation extends up and down the ballot.
From October 13–16, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1,600 likley voters (1,780 unweighted) in 50 Republican-held districts.
From October 12-14, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1000 likely voters in the presidential battleground.
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