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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...
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... Partnership but also engages the Republican base voters activated by Trump . President Barack Obama remains an undaunted Trans-Pacific Partnership proponent. But elected officials who do face ...
22. A Mandate to Rewrite the Rules of the Economy
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... progress” of President Obama.[2] But this survey also shows that when Clinton embraces a “Rewrite the Rules” framework, she bests Trump on the economy and moves into a real lead in the race.   It ...
23. A Guide to the Women’s Vote
(Articles/National Surveys)
... is possible that unmarried women will out-perform the 66 percent vote they gave President Obama in 2012; Clinton already wins 66 to 29 percent in a 2-way ballot. That will be achieved by appealing ...
... That is likely exacerbated by the visible role of President Obama and demographic changes in both parties.  And despite vocal opposition of major presidential candidates in both party primaries and the ...
25. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... now believe we are on to something – something that Republicans figured out when they used Obamacare in the off-year elections of 2010 and 2014.  It motivated and unified their base, brought out the emotions ...
... by 8 points in the more demographically diverse battleground states, outperforming Obama in Florida by 10 points, North Carolina by 13 points, and Arizona by 4 points. That grows the Electoral College ...
27. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... class supporters joined an all-out war with a GOP establishment that failed to stop President Obama from changing America. His brazen nationalist economic appeal includes attacks on immigrants, bad trade ...
28. Republicans, beware: Moderates could help elect Clinton
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... conservative, distrust regulation, and want lower taxes and a strong military. They would repeal Obamacare, and they want the government to get control of immigration. But unlike much of their GOP ...
29. Progressives Win on Economy vs. Trump-Nationalist
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... Even after trickle-down policies nearly destroyed the economy, this conservative hegemony was left unchallenged by President Obama who made the recovery his main economic project. Indeed, Mitt Romney was ...
30. Edging toward an earthquake election
(Articles/National Surveys)
... Ted Cruz, just a point short of Obama’s margin in 2008.  But seven new findings in this survey suggest something even more disruptive electorally.   The GOP brand has reached a new historic ...
... and won’t be able to bring change and the concern about the opposition she will face as the first woman president. In light of President Obama and Trump’s attacks, these women voiced a heightened ...
... Obama’s values, and he fought to restrict the big banks even though he raised money. But I also get that all of this campaign spending and lobbying makes the system looked rigged and most Americans feel ...
33. Engaging the millennial generation
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... conversation about a $30 billion dollar prison being built in the Philadelphia area. Many of the older millennials voted to elect President Obama, but eight years later they are pessimistic about ...
34. Taking on Trade, Unions and Banks in 2016
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... at the heart of the Rewriting the Rules report. President Obama too has talked about the need “to reduce the influence of money in our politics, so that a handful of families or hidden interests can’t ...
35. Voters Demand Government & Political Reform
(Articles/National Surveys)
... working class women, both of which President Obama lost.  If the voters in the RAE turn out in 2016, Hillary Clinton will make history.  However, only 56 percent of RAE voters rate themselves extremely ...
... counterrevolution has reached its own tipping point is evident in the shrinking proportion of people who think of themselves as conservative. When Republicans challenged President Obama in the off-year ...
37. Senate Battleground: The Path to Retaking the Senate
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... support among RAE voters, and the underperformance of unmarried women in these Republican-held Senate seats could not be more dramatic. To cite one example, Obama won 63 percent of unmarried women in 2012 ...
... repealing and replacing Obamacare, and closing our borders to protect workers would be very effective in bettering the economy. The current conservative economic policy agenda barely seems relevant to ...
... white millennial voters.  Arguably, the most interesting group in this debate is white millennial voters (defined here as voters born between 1980 and 1997).  These younger white voters supported Obama ...
... Democratic majority in America and second that this goal can be sought without having to compromise a solid progressive agenda or alienate members of the Obama coalition. And my discussion paper proposed ...
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