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November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
November 02, 2017

Disruptive changes among key...

There are big forces at work in the coming year that could produce an earthquake of an off-year election, including a parade of indictments, the GOP...
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21. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... now believe we are on to something – something that Republicans figured out when they used Obamacare in the off-year elections of 2010 and 2014.  It motivated and unified their base, brought out the emotions ...
... by 8 points in the more demographically diverse battleground states, outperforming Obama in Florida by 10 points, North Carolina by 13 points, and Arizona by 4 points. That grows the Electoral College ...
23. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... class supporters joined an all-out war with a GOP establishment that failed to stop President Obama from changing America. His brazen nationalist economic appeal includes attacks on immigrants, bad trade ...
24. Republicans, beware: Moderates could help elect Clinton
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... conservative, distrust regulation, and want lower taxes and a strong military. They would repeal Obamacare, and they want the government to get control of immigration. But unlike much of their GOP ...
25. Progressives Win on Economy vs. Trump-Nationalist
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... Even after trickle-down policies nearly destroyed the economy, this conservative hegemony was left unchallenged by President Obama who made the recovery his main economic project. Indeed, Mitt Romney was ...
26. Edging toward an earthquake election
(Articles/National Surveys)
... Ted Cruz, just a point short of Obama’s margin in 2008.  But seven new findings in this survey suggest something even more disruptive electorally.   The GOP brand has reached a new historic ...
... and won’t be able to bring change and the concern about the opposition she will face as the first woman president. In light of President Obama and Trump’s attacks, these women voiced a heightened ...
... Obama’s values, and he fought to restrict the big banks even though he raised money. But I also get that all of this campaign spending and lobbying makes the system looked rigged and most Americans feel ...
29. Engaging the millennial generation
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... conversation about a $30 billion dollar prison being built in the Philadelphia area. Many of the older millennials voted to elect President Obama, but eight years later they are pessimistic about ...
30. Taking on Trade, Unions and Banks in 2016
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... at the heart of the Rewriting the Rules report. President Obama too has talked about the need “to reduce the influence of money in our politics, so that a handful of families or hidden interests can’t ...
31. Voters Demand Government & Political Reform
(Articles/National Surveys)
... working class women, both of which President Obama lost.  If the voters in the RAE turn out in 2016, Hillary Clinton will make history.  However, only 56 percent of RAE voters rate themselves extremely ...
... counterrevolution has reached its own tipping point is evident in the shrinking proportion of people who think of themselves as conservative. When Republicans challenged President Obama in the off-year ...
33. Senate Battleground: The Path to Retaking the Senate
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... support among RAE voters, and the underperformance of unmarried women in these Republican-held Senate seats could not be more dramatic. To cite one example, Obama won 63 percent of unmarried women in 2012 ...
... repealing and replacing Obamacare, and closing our borders to protect workers would be very effective in bettering the economy. The current conservative economic policy agenda barely seems relevant to ...
... white millennial voters.  Arguably, the most interesting group in this debate is white millennial voters (defined here as voters born between 1980 and 1997).  These younger white voters supported Obama ...
... Democratic majority in America and second that this goal can be sought without having to compromise a solid progressive agenda or alienate members of the Obama coalition. And my discussion paper proposed ...
... from the Republicans.  But amazingly, Democratic gains with working class women are partially offset by losses with white working class men.  With the men, Clinton is trailing Obama's performance by 5 ...
... Democratic vigor in this survey is the deep backing that Clinton and the Democrats enjoy among voters in the Rising American Electorate, where Clinton matches Obama’s 2012 vote and exceeds his showing ...
39. The Average Joe's Proviso
(Articles/In the News)
... to keeping Democratic voters engaged in both presidential and off-year elections. When the economy crashed in 2008, Obama won white unmarried women by a whopping 20 points (60 to 40 percent) and came ...
... deeply frustrating contradiction is the 36 percent of the vote Obama won with white non-college-educated voters nationally. He did get 40 percent of the votes of white workers outside the South and in ...
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