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June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...
July 13, 2018

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue...

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy...
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... Investor State Dispute Settlement (ISDS). This unique survey of likely voters identifies key targets in the trade debate among Democrats, independents and Republicans and demonstrates how they can be moved ...
22. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... of winning the House this November. They are more likely to achieve that goal if voters start voting a straight-Democratic ticket or more Republican voters defect at the congressional and local level. ...
... the Democrats’ party identification advantage: in this case, Democrats hold a 6-point advantage in party identification and an 8-point advantage with Republican and Democratic leaning-independents.  ...
... image problems. With 60 percent viewing Trump unfavorably and half of presidential year voters saying they will never vote for him, he is losing Republican support to Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson ...
25. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
We are witnessing the crash of the Republican Party as we know it, and progressives should dramatically change their strategy to maximize conservative losses and move the stalled progressive reform ...
26. Republicans, beware: Moderates could help elect Clinton
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
By Stanley Greenberg Appeared in the Washington Post on May 13, 2016. Moderate Republicans will have the last word in this dramatic presidential election year. The GOP establishment and its ...
27. Progressives Win on Economy vs. Trump-Nationalist
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
The Reagan Era produced a Republican Party trusted on the economy and left conservatives hegemonic on economic ideas and policy – small government, top-rate tax cuts, and deregulation to power growth. ...
28. Edging toward an earthquake election
(Articles/National Surveys)
... low, putting the party at risk in swing segments of the electorate.   The GOP civil war is producing an eye-opening numbers of Republicans ready to punish down-ballot candidates for not ...
29. Explaining Trump: GOP Civil War & its Opportunities
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... war inside the GOP can move significant numbers of voters out of the Republican camp – and this poll starts to show how.   Executive Summary As the Republican Party grapples with a fateful ...
30. Engaging the millennial generation
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... focus groups, yet there is tremendous potential to engage these voters with a “Level the Playing Field” message and policy agenda. They are very negative about politics, yet they are following the Republican ...
31. Taking on Trade, Unions and Banks in 2016
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... agenda.”[1] That is less aligned with the changes the report advocates.  That message has allowed the Republican presidential candidates to embrace change and talk about wage stagnation, rising inequality ...
32. Voters Demand Government & Political Reform
(Articles/National Surveys)
... unimpressive, given the tarnished Republican brand. And that underperformance is particularly true for the RAE voters who are struggling and want to see change. For example, Clinton reaches 65 percent ...
... Democrats should not be wary of running on reform because of their own fundraising. Perhaps most important is how a strong Clinton offense on this issue mitigates against the inevitable Republican ...
... anticipate because the revolutionary economic and social changes occurring in the United States have now pushed both the burgeoning new majority and the conservative Republicans’ counterrevolution beyond ...
35. Senate Battleground: The Path to Retaking the Senate
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... 5 points ahead of a Republican incumbent in Wisconsin (a Democratic pick up) and knotted in Ohio and Florida (both Democratic pick up states).  The Republican brand continues to sour with the numbers for ...
... The former narrative uses the language of prominent conservatives and Republicans, focusing heavily on big government, regulation and spending that is strangling the economy.  But the Roosevelt economic ...
37. The Average Joe's Proviso
(Articles/In the News)
... I call the Rising American Electorate. Working-class whites and white unmarried women are both key to competing in the states where Republicans are pursuing a conservative governing agenda unchecked and ...
... and are formidable favorites to win the presidency in 2016, yet Republicans hold large majorities in the U.S. House and Senate and have total partisan control in 24 of the states. At the heart of that ...
... Democratic Party. Democratic messages and Democratic policies outmuscle Republican messages and Republican policy, suggesting room for further advances. Meanwhile, the honeymoon for Boehner and McConnell ...
40. Why the GOP Really Hates the Immigration Executive Order
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
When President Obama took steps to legalize the status of 5 million undocumented immigrants, he brought out the real Republican Party, not the reasonable one Republican leaders put forward momentarily ...
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