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November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
September 27, 2017

NAFTA Renegotiation Requires...

Trump’s unexpected victory has disrupted progressive strategies to dominate this period, but no area has been disrupted more than trade. No other area...
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... intense. Bernie Sanders’ call for a “revolution” produced landslide victories with millennials and white Democrats without a four-year degree. This progress nearly allowed him to contest the convention. ...
22. Why Trump Won: Part 1
(Articles/National Surveys)
... happened across this very diverse and divided electorate. First, we believe Hillary Clinton and Democrats could have won this election if Democratic base voters turned out at higher numbers and appealed ...
... the general election campaign has raised awareness and increased opposition. The scale of change starts with Democrats, speeds up with independents and becomes a torrent with Republicans.  The proponents ...
24. Strategy for Maximizing Democratic Gains
(Articles/National Surveys)
Democracy Corps’ new national survey shows Democrats have an opportunity to make significant gains if they have the right strategy in the final weeks of the campaign. This survey came out of the field ...
... chance to translate to much larger Democratic margins down-ballot.  After voters hear the simulated campaign play out, Democrats take a 9-point lead in the House ballot, just at the edge of a majority. ...
... of the debate. Voters came out of the debate with a reason to vote for Clinton but perhaps for other Democrats too. READ FULL MEMO VIEW PRESENTATION VIEW DIALS ON YOUTUBE   [1] ...
... that deficit with enough “Never Trump” Republicans. For now, two things are clear. First, an “unshackled” Donald Trump has reinvigorated Democratic hopes of retaking the U.S. Congress. Second, Democrats ...
28. The millennial strategy
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
Millennials are poised to give Hillary Clinton and Democrats a big margin in November's election if they are engaged to vote and if progressives are smart in dealing with the third party vote. Millennial ...
Over the past week, Hillary Clinton’s focus on the economy has given Democrats their marching orders for consolidating Democrats and her vote down-ballot. The powerful economic message she articulated ...
... Clinton to 31 percent for Trump). Right now, unmarried women are showing respectable levels of voter engagement. In this poll, unmarried women and Democrats fall just 2-3 points below Republicans in saying ...
... Democrats' path to intense opposition to the trade pact is very different, our focus groups and polling show. But it may produce an even greater demand for transformation of our "trade" regime. Democratic ...
32. The Wave
(Articles/In the News)
... the person who invented the term “Reagan Democrats” and took Bill Clinton to Warren in Macomb County, Michigan. But then, the white working class men’s share of the electorate was twice what it is today. ...
33. A Mandate to Rewrite the Rules of the Economy
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... Corps has conducted on Roosevelt’s behalf over the past year. But leading into the party conventions, Democrats are on track to lose the debate over the economy with the public – even while leading ...
... Investor State Dispute Settlement (ISDS). This unique survey of likely voters identifies key targets in the trade debate among Democrats, independents and Republicans and demonstrates how they can be moved ...
35. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... it showed the Democrats with an 8-point lead in the named congressional ballot (49 to 41 percent), something we have not seen since June of 2009 in our polls. It is also the first time we have seen the ...
... 2016 voters was conducted June 23-28th with 66 percent of respondents reached on cell phones. [1] Importantly, this is the first time that we have seen the presidential vote margin for Democrats exceed ...
... and college educated voters to Clinton and the Democrats. Trump is helping Clinton consolidate Democrats, unmarried women, and minority voters.   As a result, Trump’s Rustbelt strategy is faltering ...
38. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... and in the election’s aftermath. Seizing them will increase the probability that the Democrats’ rapidly growing demographic hegemony will finally be realized electorally. It will increase the probability ...
39. Edging toward an earthquake election
(Articles/National Surveys)
... with white unmarried women,   millennials and African Americans showed a new consciousness about the stakes in November. In this poll, the percentage of Democrats giving the highest level of engagement ...
40. Explaining Trump: GOP Civil War & its Opportunities
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... survey of Republicans looks eerily like Trump’s inside intelligence on Republican thinking, though at the same time, it shows how Democrats can take advantage of this moment. The strongest attacks ...
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