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April 10, 2019

Trump promised a new trade policy....

By Stanley Greenberg. This article appeared on the Washington Post website on April 10, 2019. Donald Trump disrupted the 2016 election and won many...
January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
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... presidential race in the battleground has tightened, but also why it is likely to widen back up. Trump’s better margins come from some consolidation of base Republicans and Clinton has lost support to ...
... stop any trade deals that kills jobs or holds down wages" and oppose the the Trans-Pacific Partnership after the election and as president. Republican Donald Trump condemned every past trade deal that ...
23. The Wave
(Articles/In the News)
... for the Republicans.[1] Progressives, pundits and the media are consumed with the pivotal role of angry white working class men when their vote share is declining every presidential election and will ...
24. A Mandate to Rewrite the Rules of the Economy
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... in the race for the White House. Clinton and the Democrats enter this debate with a 6-point advantage in partisanship, yet they trail Donald Trump and the Republicans on who would do a better job on the ...
... Clinton also has twice as many “winnable” voters as Trump (10 to 5 percent). This race is still shaped by Trump's high negatives – his unfavorability remains stuck at 60 percent – as well as a Republican ...
... Investor State Dispute Settlement (ISDS). This unique survey of likely voters identifies key targets in the trade debate among Democrats, independents and Republicans and demonstrates how they can be moved ...
27. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... of winning the House this November. They are more likely to achieve that goal if voters start voting a straight-Democratic ticket or more Republican voters defect at the congressional and local level. ...
... the Democrats’ party identification advantage: in this case, Democrats hold a 6-point advantage in party identification and an 8-point advantage with Republican and Democratic leaning-independents.  ...
... image problems. With 60 percent viewing Trump unfavorably and half of presidential year voters saying they will never vote for him, he is losing Republican support to Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson ...
30. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
We are witnessing the crash of the Republican Party as we know it, and progressives should dramatically change their strategy to maximize conservative losses and move the stalled progressive reform ...
31. Republicans, beware: Moderates could help elect Clinton
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
By Stanley Greenberg Appeared in the Washington Post on May 13, 2016. Moderate Republicans will have the last word in this dramatic presidential election year. The GOP establishment and its ...
32. Progressives Win on Economy vs. Trump-Nationalist
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
The Reagan Era produced a Republican Party trusted on the economy and left conservatives hegemonic on economic ideas and policy – small government, top-rate tax cuts, and deregulation to power growth. ...
33. Edging toward an earthquake election
(Articles/National Surveys)
... low, putting the party at risk in swing segments of the electorate.   The GOP civil war is producing an eye-opening numbers of Republicans ready to punish down-ballot candidates for not ...
34. Explaining Trump: GOP Civil War & its Opportunities
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... war inside the GOP can move significant numbers of voters out of the Republican camp – and this poll starts to show how.   Executive Summary As the Republican Party grapples with a fateful ...
35. Engaging the millennial generation
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... focus groups, yet there is tremendous potential to engage these voters with a “Level the Playing Field” message and policy agenda. They are very negative about politics, yet they are following the Republican ...
36. Taking on Trade, Unions and Banks in 2016
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... agenda.”[1] That is less aligned with the changes the report advocates.  That message has allowed the Republican presidential candidates to embrace change and talk about wage stagnation, rising inequality ...
37. Voters Demand Government & Political Reform
(Articles/National Surveys)
... unimpressive, given the tarnished Republican brand. And that underperformance is particularly true for the RAE voters who are struggling and want to see change. For example, Clinton reaches 65 percent ...
... Democrats should not be wary of running on reform because of their own fundraising. Perhaps most important is how a strong Clinton offense on this issue mitigates against the inevitable Republican ...
... anticipate because the revolutionary economic and social changes occurring in the United States have now pushed both the burgeoning new majority and the conservative Republicans’ counterrevolution beyond ...
40. Senate Battleground: The Path to Retaking the Senate
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... 5 points ahead of a Republican incumbent in Wisconsin (a Democratic pick up) and knotted in Ohio and Florida (both Democratic pick up states).  The Republican brand continues to sour with the numbers for ...
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