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November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
November 02, 2017

Disruptive changes among key...

There are big forces at work in the coming year that could produce an earthquake of an off-year election, including a parade of indictments, the GOP...
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... has control. All the Republican Senate candidates are under 50 percent and North Carolina and Arizona incumbents may be in reach. Plus, one-quarter of those voting Republican in the U.S. Senate race in ...
... Party and Democratic incumbents, and the worsening standing of Republican candidates and Mitch McConnell. At the same time, the President’s approval rating has risen, and support for his handling of ISIS ...
... to explain why Democratic incumbents and candidates are surprising people and keeping so many red-states very much in play.  The Democratic candidates have achieved a net positive job performance and a ...
... RAE voters and unmarried women.    The Democratic incumbents in this battleground are much better liked than Obama and have significantly higher ratings than their Republican opponents.  ...
... but won by Romney by 8 points in 2012, this will be a competitive year to be sure. Nevertheless, Democratic incumbents and challengers are out-performing Obama in these states, while Democratic intensity ...
6. Next phase in battle for the House battleground
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... battleground. Republican incumbents have edged up  in the most competitive districts this year, but they are below 50 percent, tethered to their unpopular party brand and still vulnerable.    ...
... two thirds (67 percent) say we are off on the wrong track.  Voters in both Democratic and Republican districts give their incumbents low job approval ratings and they give even lower ratings for the ...
... But this survey included a unique experiment to see the impact when Democratic incumbents emphasized or de-emphasized the Affordable Care Act in their positive and negative campaigns.  We assess the ...
... in a congressional election year—especially when voters in this poll  express a strong commitment to vote against incumbents?  Did they pay attention to earlier polls from Democracy Corps that ...
10. Revolt Against Congress: Game On
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
Key Points: This poll is in the congressional battleground looking at named incumbents and is virtually the only window into what is really happening.  Appreciate the attention this has gotten. ...
... and congressional incumbents.[1]   While voters withhold anger for no party or person in Washington, Speaker Boehner and the Republican Congress are at the center and have taken the hardest hits ...
12. Seniors could decide this election
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... 5 points among this group since June.  In the Democratic battleground, Democratic incumbents lead by 14 points among seniors and by 9 points (48 percent to 39 percent)among white seniors. This ...
... ballot where we identify incumbents by name, not a generic vote. Americans are not buying Republicans’ shutdown politics, and Republicans are likely to pay the price. For the first time we asked ...
... names of incumbents in their districts.  This is not a generic test ballot.  And this survey has been a pretty good guide to the expanding battlegrounds in the elections of 2006, 2008, and 2010.  ...
... sensitive to big money in politics and they'll be even thirstier for solutions as the final weeks unfold. These are vulnerable incumbents in the most unpopular of partisan institutions, and their ...
...  The first Democracy Corps survey of the reapportioned battleground shows Republican incumbents in serious and worsening trouble.  The 2012 campaign has just turned the corner on 100 days and the message ...
... Democrats have made gains on the ballot since last September. Democratic incumbents in the 23 most competitive seats appear poised to do very well in their races. Democratic incumbents have hit ...
18. Women Push Back in the Battleground
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... Democrats making significant gains among women in districts held by Republican incumbents. In the Republican-held districts where we have data from last year, Democrats picked up a net 10 points among ...
19. Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
The Rising American Electorate provides opportunities to consolidate gains in the Republican battleground. A new Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund (WVWVAF) survey shows incumbents ...
These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground. The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground shows the incumbents ...
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