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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...
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1. The Democratic Wave is Now Apparent
(Articles/National Surveys)
... states in 2018 and 2020. This post-election study shows that Democrats were able to create a powerful brew that produced major gains in the House and states, despite apportioned districts rigged to be ...
2. Trump Is Beginning to Lose His Grip
(Articles/In the News)
... suburban and college-educated women issued “a sharp rebuke to President Trump” that set off a “blue wave through the urban and suburban House districts.” At first, I also believed that was the main story ...
The Democrats had a very big election on Tuesday, with a 7-point national congressional margin that allowed them to pick up 35 House seats, to elect a record-breaking 100 women to the House, and to ...
... the former speaker of the House, put it. Much more worrisome for those of us who think the country needs a blue wave in 2018 is the way Mr. Trump’s strategy appears to be raising his job approval ratings ...
... to win landslide victories in this year’s elections — from the U.S. House and Senate to governorships and state legislatures. But they’ll lose this opportunity if they don’t address the economic challenges ...
By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his Twitter rants from the White House, denying as “fake ...
7. Tools for a Wave in 2018
(Articles/National Surveys)
... such conditions is already strongly evident in this first wave of research: The Democratic house margin of 7 points is very close to what’s needed for control, but likely needs to reach 10 points. ...
New Democracy Corps surveys on behalf of Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund show a country deeply opposed to the health care plan passed by the House and now mirrored in the version under discussion ...
9. Parties of the Left, Wake Up!
(Articles/In the News)
... and millennial voters disapproved of how the President was handling his job, and many chose not to vote. These were the voters most burdened by new lower-paying jobs, foreclosures, lost house value, and ...
... economic change offer, not identity politics, to stay fulling engaged. And thus it should not be surprising that the electorate that put Donald Trump in the White House today wants bold, not incremental ...
... Paul Ryan’s speakership, should Republicans keep the House, may be the first casualty. Democrats are also sending a signal to any lame-duck TPP supporter. After witnessing the first black president ...
12. Strategy for Maximizing Democratic Gains
(Articles/National Surveys)
... survey gives the Hillary Clinton campaign, House and Senate committees and progressive allies the messages to sharply shift the vote in the final two weeks. They are: The GOP’s link to Donald ...
... chance to translate to much larger Democratic margins down-ballot.  After voters hear the simulated campaign play out, Democrats take a 9-point lead in the House ballot, just at the edge of a majority. ...
... of change and a better future. With Clinton doubling down on this message and if Democrats follow her lead, there is a chance for a reform mandate led from the White House, a Democratic Senate and more ...
... consolidation of Clinton voters for Senate and House candidates are the main reason Democrats down-ballot are falling short of their potential at this point. Clinton is getting 87 percent of Democrats, ...
16. The Wave
(Articles/In the News)
... to produce the biggest possible wins in the elections for the U.S. Senate and House and state elections. Campaigns and media should be focused on this number: 38 percent. That is the percent of the ...
17. A Mandate to Rewrite the Rules of the Economy
(Articles/Rewriting the Rules of the Economy)
... in the race for the White House. Clinton and the Democrats enter this debate with a 6-point advantage in partisanship, yet they trail Donald Trump and the Republicans on who would do a better job on the ...
18. Creating a down-ballot Democratic wave
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... ballot box when they won control of the House in 2006, though this was before the further gerrymandering of districts. Others will soon estimate what margin Democrats will really need to have a chance ...
19. The GOP Crash and the Historic Moment for Progressives
(Articles/Republican Party Project)
... of an electoral earthquake and Democratic control of the White House, the Supreme Court and perhaps the Congress. The fracturing of the Republican Party has created three new short-term opportunities ...
... to take on tough challenges head on. They clearly believe that she is presidential and “the strongest choice to keep a Democrat in the White House.” (Clinton primary supporter) They also appreciate her ...
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