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July 13, 2018

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue...

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy...
June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...
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1. Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue Wave More Likely
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... vote for Democrats. But they are wrong about the political trends, the economy, and what motivates Democrats. They miss how the GOP strategy branded Trump and the GOP as only out for themselves and the ...
... to Democrats as the anti-Obamacare 2010 wave election that shaped American politics for almost a decade was to Republicans—if Democrats don’t let ’em hide from their tax scam for the rich. And we do not ...
... and closing the enthusiasm gap with Democrats that has been a critical element in the handful of off-year elections since 2016. Any wave election worth its salt — like the 1974 Watergate cleansing, the ...
By Stanley Greenberg & Page Gardner for The Hill, May 18, 2018 With approval ratings of 42 percent for President Trump and a dismal 18 percent for the Republican Congress, Democrats could be poised ...
Democrats sit at the edge of a landslide repudiation of President Trump and Republicans – in the Congress and states where they govern – in November. This is according to the first of three waves of ...
The midterm election is starting to break against Donald Trump and the Republican Party in profound ways and running on the economy and the new tax cut helps further solidify advantages for Democrats.This ...
7. SOTU 2018: No Sugar High
(Articles/Dial Meters)
... 90 minutes. In fact, he produced a 12-point shift to the Democrats among the white millennial participants in our dial-group. Critically, he increased the determination of white unmarried women, Latinos, ...
Over the last three months, Democrats have doubled their margin in the generic congressional ballot to an 11-point advantage among registered voters and an 8-point lead among likely voters nationally. ...
... campaign, Greenberg told me. Even worse, he said, Democrats were repeating the same political mistakes a year later. “Look at Virginia right now,” Greenberg said, as soon as we sat down in his second-floor ...
10. Disruptive changes among key voters in 2017
(Articles/National Surveys)
... and millennials, who are more disengaged than any other group, can be engaged if leaders and organizations get their act together. Democrats may push the generic ballot into double-digits with a promise ...
... and these are the poster children. So why do the Democrats not enjoy a stronger lead in the ballot? READ THE FULL NOTE HERE.    ...
... because the Democrats’ silence on trade contributed mightily to Trump’s victory in the Rustbelt states and to Democrats’ ongoing disadvantage in handling the economy in public polling. Progressives must ...
... percent, how he is “putting American workers ahead of the interests of big corporations” and 60 percent, “keeping jobs in the United States.” That is made possible, in part by the relative silence of Democrats ...
14. Tools for a Wave in 2018
(Articles/National Surveys)
...  Democrats and key parts of the Democratic base – African Americans, Hispanics, unmarried women and millennials are intensely hostile to Trump and are supporting Democrats for Congress with impressive ...
... “strongly.” But with the right information and lines of attack, Democrats can broaden and deepen opposition to the GOP replacement plan bill even further. What do voters dislike about the proposed replacement ...
16. The Democrats' "Working Class Problem"
(Articles/In the News)
This article originally appeared in The American Prospect on June 1st as part of the series on the White Working Class and Democrats.   The road to a sustainable Democratic majority—nationally, ...
... – the working women who will play a critical role in determining whether Democrats make a comeback in the coming off-year elections.[1] Each of these groups disappointed Democrats to varying degrees in ...
18. Moving to scale to win on health care
(Articles/Battleground Surveys)
... – both the Clinton and Trump voters. Based on the findings of just-completed focus groups with these key voters, the Republican failure has created a major opportunity for progressives. The Democrats’ ...
... first made a name for himself studying white working class voters. His seminal 1985 report on so-called Reagan Democrats examined why auto workers were abandoning the Democratic Party in Macomb County, ...
20. Macomb County in the Age of Trump
(Articles/Macomb County)
The path for Democrats to take back Trump voters and win down-ballot runs through the nation’s working class communities, starting in the formerly industrial states and Upper Midwest. That is why Democracy ...
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