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January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...

Inside Trump's GOP: not what you think!
Friday, August 03 2018
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Download this file (Dcor_GOP_July National_Deck_8.3.2018_for release.pdf)Presentation: Inside Trump's GOP[ ]1306 Kb15 Downloads
Download this file (Dcor_GOP_July National_Memo_8.3.18_for release.pdf)Report: Inside Trump's GOP[ ]596 Kb17 Downloads
Download this file (Democracy Corps July National Poll Toplines_7.26.2018.pdf)Toplines: July 2018 National Phone Survey[ ]480 Kb20 Downloads

Four months before the election, Democracy Corps started conducting deep qualitative and quantitative research with the base voters who identify with the Republican Party. The findings paint a picture very different from the one that assumes the GOP is Trump’s party. That realization reveals big opportunities for progressives in the remaining 90 days before the election. Democracy Corps will be releasing further reports on how to take advantage of these opportunities.

The conventional wisdom on President Donald Trump and the GOP is just wrong. Trump does indeed get a rousing response from Evangelical conservatives and Tea Party supporters, and they do emerge more determined to vote in 2018. But they form just half of the today’s GOP. Catholic conservatives, secular conservatives, and moderates make up 53 percent of the GOP base, and they are much less passionate about Trump and less enthusiastic about voting in November.

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In the final 90 days before the midterms, Donald Trump’s base strategy will be in full force, but this research reveals that his messaging and persona divide Republicans and open the door for opportunistic progressives to appeal to the less enthusiastic GOP, particularly the women and millennials, on issues like women’s choice, Medicaid and health care, and the environment.