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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

In the News
Obama's Win Equal Parts Turnout, Persuasion
Wednesday, January 21 2009
Attachments:
Download this file (database04_08votersfinal.pdf)database04_08votersfinal.pdf[ ]0 Kb

Over 61 percent of eligible voters turned out this year, the highest turnout level since 1968. Much has been made of Barack Obama's turnout machine, which drew out a new cadre of voters--”particularly new African American, Hispanic, and young voters”--and these voters cer-tainly contributed to Obama's win. Obama dominated McCain among these new voters, not only young and minority voters, but first-time voters of every age group and demographic heavily supported Obama.

Read more... [Obama's Win Equal Parts Turnout, Persuasion]
 
The New Electorate
Monday, August 04 2008

With over 3,000 interviews in the past moth, Democracy Corps has assembled a large database from which to conduct a deep demographic analysis of trends in the presidential race. Using this resource, we have identified groups where Senator Barack Obama is running ahead of Senator John Kerry in 2004 -- including those under 30, moderate and suburban voters -- and areas of underperformance.

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Economic Concerns Driving Political Measures to New Depths
Monday, April 14 2008

After nearly a year of remarkably consistent numbers in key metrics of the country's political environment, we are seeing significant movement as rapidly deteriorating attitudes toward the economy drive ratings of the country's direction, consumer confidence, and President Bush's job approval marks to new lows. Approval of Congress has also fallen, but the anger is not directed at the "Democratic Congress" which has seen a decline in its negatives this year - in fact, the country's profound change dynamic has resulted in the massive Democratic advantage in the generic congressional ballot growing even larger in March.

Read more... [Economic Concerns Driving Political Measures to New Depths]
 
Latest Polls Hold Key Lessons on Iraq, Economy
Friday, November 30 2007
Attachments:
Download this file (public-polls-20071130.pdf)public-polls-20071130.pdf[ ]77 Kb

Despite recent coverage of shifting attitudes toward the war in Iraq and the Democratic Congress, the latest public polls show the country's political environment remains fundamentally unchanged, with President Bush and Republicans in Congress still deeply unpopular and Democrats maintaining a significant electoral advantage at the congressional level one year before the next election. Broad disapproval of Congress as an institution reflects the massive change dynamic still driving the electorate and is not directed at the new Democratic leadership.

Read more... [Latest Polls Hold Key Lessons on Iraq, Economy]
 
National Security a Winning Issue for Democrats
Wednesday, November 14 2007

Despite recent coverage of shifting attitudes toward the war in Iraq and the Democratic Congress, the latest public polls show the country's political environment remains fundamentally unchanged, with President Bush and Republicans in Congress still deeply unpopular and Democrats maintaining a significant electoral advantage at the congressional level one year before the next election. Broad disapproval of Congress as an institution reflects the massive change dynamic still driving the electorate and is not directed at the new Democratic leadership.

Read more... [National Security a Winning Issue for Democrats]
 
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