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April 10, 2019

Trump promised a new trade policy....

By Stanley Greenberg. This article appeared on the Washington Post website on April 10, 2019. Donald Trump disrupted the 2016 election and won many...
January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...

In the News
Obama and the Senior Vote
Wednesday, January 28 2009
Download this file (databaseseniorsfinal.pdf)databaseseniorsfinal.pdf[ ]0 Kb0 Downloads

Election Day was full of historic results for Barack Obama. But his performance among seniors provided one of the few lower points, as exit polls show that Obama lost to John McCain among seniors 45 to 53 percent. According to the exit polls, while Obama made gains with nearly all groups compared to John Kerry, this did not happen with seniors. They, along with gay and lesbian voters, were the big underperformers for Obama. Among seniors overall, there was no real change from 2004 to 2008. And among white seniors, Obama lost significant ground, even while he made gains among the white electorate as a whole.

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Obama's Win Equal Parts Turnout, Persuasion
Wednesday, January 21 2009
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Over 61 percent of eligible voters turned out this year, the highest turnout level since 1968. Much has been made of Barack Obama's turnout machine, which drew out a new cadre of voters--”particularly new African American, Hispanic, and young voters”--and these voters cer-tainly contributed to Obama's win. Obama dominated McCain among these new voters, not only young and minority voters, but first-time voters of every age group and demographic heavily supported Obama.

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The New Electorate
Monday, August 04 2008

With over 3,000 interviews in the past moth, Democracy Corps has assembled a large database from which to conduct a deep demographic analysis of trends in the presidential race. Using this resource, we have identified groups where Senator Barack Obama is running ahead of Senator John Kerry in 2004 -- including those under 30, moderate and suburban voters -- and areas of underperformance.

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Economic Concerns Driving Political Measures to New Depths
Monday, April 14 2008

After nearly a year of remarkably consistent numbers in key metrics of the country's political environment, we are seeing significant movement as rapidly deteriorating attitudes toward the economy drive ratings of the country's direction, consumer confidence, and President Bush's job approval marks to new lows. Approval of Congress has also fallen, but the anger is not directed at the "Democratic Congress" which has seen a decline in its negatives this year - in fact, the country's profound change dynamic has resulted in the massive Democratic advantage in the generic congressional ballot growing even larger in March.

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Latest Polls Hold Key Lessons on Iraq, Economy
Friday, November 30 2007
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Despite recent coverage of shifting attitudes toward the war in Iraq and the Democratic Congress, the latest public polls show the country's political environment remains fundamentally unchanged, with President Bush and Republicans in Congress still deeply unpopular and Democrats maintaining a significant electoral advantage at the congressional level one year before the next election. Broad disapproval of Congress as an institution reflects the massive change dynamic still driving the electorate and is not directed at the new Democratic leadership.

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