Most Popular

June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...
July 13, 2018

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue...

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy...

The Challenge of Getting the Real Economy Right
Thursday, March 11 2010

The biggest challenge facing Democrats in 2010 after passing health care is getting the economy right - and this is even more important than health care. While economic growth is better than contraction and stagnation, it poses immense problems for progressives wanting the support of voters - starting with the growing gap between improving macro-level indicators and lagging micro-level ones, like job and wage growth. There is reason to believe - confirmed by this survey - that progressives are losing many blue collar and non-college voters as elites focus on “economic success."

The second big and growing challenge is the gap between the hopes of the new progressive base voters who created a progressive majority in the country in the last four years - African-Americans and Latinos, young voters and unmarried women - and their own experiences in this economic crisis - loss of employment, wages and health care and cutbacks in state services.   These voters are dominantly the “drop-off" voters - those who voted in the 2008 election but are not likely to in 2010. Democrats and progressive groups will have to craft an effective narrative - as the economy unfolds and these gaps potentially widen.