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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

The Challenge of Getting the Real Economy Right
Thursday, March 11 2010

The biggest challenge facing Democrats in 2010 after passing health care is getting the economy right - and this is even more important than health care. While economic growth is better than contraction and stagnation, it poses immense problems for progressives wanting the support of voters - starting with the growing gap between improving macro-level indicators and lagging micro-level ones, like job and wage growth. There is reason to believe - confirmed by this survey - that progressives are losing many blue collar and non-college voters as elites focus on “economic success."

The second big and growing challenge is the gap between the hopes of the new progressive base voters who created a progressive majority in the country in the last four years - African-Americans and Latinos, young voters and unmarried women - and their own experiences in this economic crisis - loss of employment, wages and health care and cutbacks in state services.   These voters are dominantly the “drop-off" voters - those who voted in the 2008 election but are not likely to in 2010. Democrats and progressive groups will have to craft an effective narrative - as the economy unfolds and these gaps potentially widen.