Most Popular

February 04, 2015

"Middle Class Economics"...

As reported by Thomas Edsall in the New York Times, Democracy Corps conducted dial testing during the 2015 State of the Union address with white swing...
February 12, 2015

Evolving Strategy for...

This report makes recommendations based on three distinct research projects executed by Democracy Corps for WVWVAF over the last month, including a...
January 21, 2015

State of the Union 2015: Playing...

Online dial testing with 61 white swing voters across the United States and  two follow-up online focus groups – one with white non-college educated...

New Poll with Resurgent Republic for NPR
Wednesday, October 03 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (npr.natl.fq.093012.FINAL.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]191 Kb

 

alt

This is the second bipartisan survey for NPR conducted by Democracy Corps and Resurgent Republic.  It is based on a national likely voter survey of 800 interviews, with an over-sample of interviews in the battleground states.  The observations herein do not reflect the views of NPR or of Resurgent Republic.

This survey shows Obama with a 7-point lead nationally and 6 points ahead in the battleground. Obviously, that would be a stunning result, but we will wait to see whether this survey is an advance indicator, as the last one was.

 

Almost two-thirds of likely voters say they will watch the debate, and about one in ten say there is a serious chance their vote could be impacted.  Nonetheless, wethink this debate will moreclosely resemble those in 2004, which had minimal impact on the overall race, than those in 2000, which had a major impact. 

The results here are produced by the toxic image of the Republican Party and Mitt Romney.  As improbable as it seems, this is moving into 2008 territory on levels of partisanship and consolidation of the vote.

The most important finding here is the state of the economy, not the race.  There is some evidence of an improved national economic climate, of Obama taking a real lead over Romney on the economy, and of the dominance of Obama's middle class economic narrative tested head-to-head against Romney’s.

It invites Romney to change his economic course tonight and battle for the future.

 

Read the full article from NPR here.