Most Popular

March 11, 2016

Getting Hillary Clinton’s Message...

All signs point to Hillary Clinton achieving a delegate majority in the Democratic nomination for President, but her image is being tarnished and...
March 22, 2016

Raised Stakes for the Rising...

The country is in a desperate mood, expressed in the public’s discontent with the direction of country. The anxiety begins with an economy you can’t...
February 03, 2016

Reform and a winning 2016...

By Stan Greenberg & Page Gardner. This appeared on The Hill's Congress Blog on February 3, 2016.   These are days of rage in American politics....

New Poll with Resurgent Republic for NPR
Wednesday, October 03 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (npr.natl.fq.093012.FINAL.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]191 Kb

 

alt

This is the second bipartisan survey for NPR conducted by Democracy Corps and Resurgent Republic.  It is based on a national likely voter survey of 800 interviews, with an over-sample of interviews in the battleground states.  The observations herein do not reflect the views of NPR or of Resurgent Republic.

This survey shows Obama with a 7-point lead nationally and 6 points ahead in the battleground. Obviously, that would be a stunning result, but we will wait to see whether this survey is an advance indicator, as the last one was.

 

Almost two-thirds of likely voters say they will watch the debate, and about one in ten say there is a serious chance their vote could be impacted.  Nonetheless, wethink this debate will moreclosely resemble those in 2004, which had minimal impact on the overall race, than those in 2000, which had a major impact. 

The results here are produced by the toxic image of the Republican Party and Mitt Romney.  As improbable as it seems, this is moving into 2008 territory on levels of partisanship and consolidation of the vote.

The most important finding here is the state of the economy, not the race.  There is some evidence of an improved national economic climate, of Obama taking a real lead over Romney on the economy, and of the dominance of Obama's middle class economic narrative tested head-to-head against Romney’s.

It invites Romney to change his economic course tonight and battle for the future.

 

Read the full article from NPR here.