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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

Getting to a Powerful Choice on the Economy
Thursday, May 20 2010

Tags: Citizen Opinion | democracy corps | Democrats | economy | national | obama | Republican Party

Download this file (dcor051810fq5.web_.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]40 Kb
Download this file (Economic-tracking-final.pdf)Memo[ ]53 Kb
Download this file (message-ectrack-05202010-FINAL1.pdf)Graphs[ ]245 Kb

The lack of movement in our monthly economic monitor even after a quarter of job growth underscores the urgency of progressives advancing an effective economic message. The current messages coming from President Obama and the national Democrats are demonstrably ineffective - indeed, out of sync with what is happening to people in the real economy. The message has voters looking backward instead of forward, fails to take full advantage of voters' continuing contempt for Republicans and fails to offer voters a powerful contrast and choice. But there are powerful alternatives to the current approach, which would strengthen the case for progressives and individual candidates.

The urgency grows with the most recent economic monitor completed this week by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Citizen Opinion - after a quarter of monthly job growth and two months of accelerating gains.  But the economic tracking this week indicates how remote that seems for those in the real economy.  Belief the country is on the right track and perceptions of macro economic growth have not moved after a one-month shift.  Voters remain deeply cautious, with their judgments affected by the country's partisan polarization.  There is no appreciable movement on the micro, personal economic indicators: unemployment, reduced hours and wages, lost health insurance, and foreclosures.  As the new job claims indicates, this is very fragile at the individual level.