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National Surveys
YFTW: The Rising Wave Among Young People
Monday, June 23 2008
Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcyp061008fq2public.pdf)dcyp061008fq2public.pdf[ ]30 Kb0 Downloads
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/yftw-rising-wave.pdf)yftw-rising-wave.pdf[ ]394 Kb0 Downloads

The latest survey in the "Youth For The Win" series conducted with Greenberg Quinlan Rosner shows Barack Obama expanding his support among young people in the wake of the Democratic primaries. Obama now beats Sen. John McCain 60 to 33 percent in a named ballot for President, a margin that echoes the Democratic advantage in the 2006 congressional elections (60 - 38 percent). Obama's improvement reflects three critical dynamics: his own improved standing in the post-primary period; the further collapse of the Republican brand among youth; and, finally, the “branding" of McCain as a Republican.

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The Obama Gap
Tuesday, June 03 2008
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Download this file (obamagap060308.pdf)obamagap060308.pdf[ ]128 Kb52 Downloads

According to the latest Democracy Corps national survey of 1,014 likely voters conducted May 13-15, 2008, Barack Obama holds a narrow two-point lead over John McCain. While this amounts to a statistical tie, a deeper analysis of the current survey, as well as data from our March and April national surveys, shows that Obama is in a better position than McCain to expand his share of the vote. Our previous memo, “Obama Emerging Ahead in Close Race," explored the macro forces and the issue terrain that will shape the Obama-McCain general election and showed that Obama's central message of change versus the Bush status quo is well-crafted to move an electorate that is looking to change more than anything else. This report explores the demographic groups where Obama is currently facing the most difficulty against McCain, where the “Obama Gap" is greatest. 

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Obama Emerging Ahead In Close Race
Thursday, May 29 2008
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Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release1.pdf)dcor051508fq5_release1.pdf[ ]101 Kb0 Downloads
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/obamaemergingahead052908.pdf)obamaemergingahead052908.pdf[ ]102 Kb0 Downloads

As the Democratic nomination contest comes to an end, Barack Obama faces a real race, but John McCain faces immediate challenges — faltering popularity, an extremely damaged Republican brand, an imperiled economy, and an evermore unpopular war in Iraq. Still, while Obama is seen as honest and more likely than McCain to break the gridlock in Washington and bring change, he still faces a lot of skepticism on the change he offers.

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National Survey
Friday, May 16 2008
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor051508tts5_release.pdf)dcor051508tts5_release.pdf[ ]141 Kb48 Downloads

From May 13-15, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1014 likely voters nationwide.

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YFTW: Growing the Youth Vote
Tuesday, May 13 2008
Attachments:
Download this file (4274_yftw-growing-the-youth-vote.pdf)4274_yftw-growing-the-youth-vote.pdf[ ]387 Kb40 Downloads
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcyp040908fq1.pdf)dcyp040908fq1.pdf[ ]49 Kb0 Downloads

A new "Youth for the Win" survey with Greenberg Quinlan Rosner finds that young voters are on pace to deliver a big Democratic margin in November, but offers two cautions which should drive efforts to engage this group and ensure they deliver. First, while this bloc is solidly Democratic, John McCain is much more popular than Bush or the Republicans; tackling this requires re-branding the Republican nominee as a Republican. Second, the long Democratic nominating process has sapped young voters' enthusiasm; there needs to be major healing after this nomination is settled.

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