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November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
September 27, 2017

NAFTA Renegotiation Requires...

Trump’s unexpected victory has disrupted progressive strategies to dominate this period, but no area has been disrupted more than trade. No other area...

National Surveys
Offering Reassurance and Change
Wednesday, July 09 2008

With the Democratic nomination contest over, Senator Barack Obama has emerged with an improvement in his overall favorability and a vote gain among Democratic voters. Though this progress has been accompanied by some diminished enthusiasm for the presumptive Democratic nominee and only small gains among independent voters, Obama seems well-positioned to engage voters, consolidate Democrats and win over independents. And while he maintains a solid but narrow lead over Republican candidate John McCain, the energy debate and voters' increasing concerns about the weakening economy offer an opportunity for Obama and the Democrats to break open this election.

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National Survey
Thursday, June 26 2008
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From June 22-25, 2008, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 2000 likely voters nationwide.

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YFTW: The Rising Wave Among Young People
Monday, June 23 2008
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The latest survey in the "Youth For The Win" series conducted with Greenberg Quinlan Rosner shows Barack Obama expanding his support among young people in the wake of the Democratic primaries. Obama now beats Sen. John McCain 60 to 33 percent in a named ballot for President, a margin that echoes the Democratic advantage in the 2006 congressional elections (60 - 38 percent). Obama's improvement reflects three critical dynamics: his own improved standing in the post-primary period; the further collapse of the Republican brand among youth; and, finally, the “branding" of McCain as a Republican.

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The Obama Gap
Tuesday, June 03 2008
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According to the latest Democracy Corps national survey of 1,014 likely voters conducted May 13-15, 2008, Barack Obama holds a narrow two-point lead over John McCain. While this amounts to a statistical tie, a deeper analysis of the current survey, as well as data from our March and April national surveys, shows that Obama is in a better position than McCain to expand his share of the vote. Our previous memo, “Obama Emerging Ahead in Close Race," explored the macro forces and the issue terrain that will shape the Obama-McCain general election and showed that Obama's central message of change versus the Bush status quo is well-crafted to move an electorate that is looking to change more than anything else. This report explores the demographic groups where Obama is currently facing the most difficulty against McCain, where the “Obama Gap" is greatest. 

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Obama Emerging Ahead In Close Race
Thursday, May 29 2008
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As the Democratic nomination contest comes to an end, Barack Obama faces a real race, but John McCain faces immediate challenges — faltering popularity, an extremely damaged Republican brand, an imperiled economy, and an evermore unpopular war in Iraq. Still, while Obama is seen as honest and more likely than McCain to break the gridlock in Washington and bring change, he still faces a lot of skepticism on the change he offers.

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