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National Surveys
Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support
Saturday, August 11 2012

Tags: romney | ryan | ryan budget

Attachments:
Download this file (DCorps.Ryan.081112.pdf)Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support[Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support]610 Kb

When Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate this morning, the Wisconsin Congressman’s budget became constitutive to Romney’s candidacy—in selecting Ryan, Romney not only supports, but also adopts, the principles and priorities in Paul Ryan’s radical budget plan.  To be sure, Mitt Romney has already endorsed the Ryan budget. But today, Romney makes Ryan’s priorities his own. 

Last month, we released a memo underscoring the Ryan Budget’s potential detrimental impact on Mitt Romney.  When voters learned that Romney had given Ryan’s budget his full-throated support, they pulled back sharply—to the extent that President Obama’s lead against Romney more than doubled when the election was framed as a choice on the Ryan budget.  

Today, Mitt Romney has done more than align himself with the Ryan Budget’s misguided priorities for the American people, seniors, and the middle class.  He has made these priorities a cornerstone of his candidacy.

 
A Pivotal Political Moment on Health Care
Tuesday, July 31 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (072512_Dcorps-WVWV_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]299 Kb
Download this file (dcorps_wv_hc_FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1391 Kb
Download this file (DCorps_WV_Health_Care_FINAL_updated graphs.pdf)Memo[ ]853 Kb

Republicans are running heatedly on health care – repealing “ObamaCare” – and it is a cornerstone of their strategy.  Winning on health care is critical to their motivation and to what they believe is the edge they need to ultimately prevail over Obama and congressional Democrats in November.  This poll suggests that they are right that health care will be a significant factor in the vote, but very wrong on the consequences.  If Democrats take up the debate with confidence—educate voters on the benefits and, above all, denounce the battle to repeal and refight health care—they will win the issue.  Support for health care reform has risen steadily over this year; if proponents engage the issue, it is more likely to help than hurt in November.[1]  

Unmarried women – one of the main beneficiaries of health care reform – and one of the groups most affected by the economic crash—are also politically disengaged.  Their support for Obama now falls short of their 2008 vote by 10 points.  Importantly, they are also the voters who learn the most in this argument.  If Democrats take up health care in a serious way that is both educative and compelling—they are likely to make their biggest gains among these voters.

Read more... [A Pivotal Political Moment on Health Care]
 
Obama and Democrats have clear advantage in 2012 election
Thursday, July 26 2012

Tags: democracy corps | national | obama | romney

Attachments:
Download this file (Dcorps Political Graphs_FINAL 07302012.pdf)Graphs[ ]381 Kb
Download this file (July_Dcorps_political_ FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]152 Kb

The weekend media has reported the presidential race as virtually dead even and challenged the two campaigns -- what are your plans now?
 
But while the election is close, it is very important to underscore that President Obama and the Democrats have a clear--and in some respects powerful--advantage in the race.  This is reflected in the surveys we completed at the end of last week. 

Read more... [Obama and Democrats have clear advantage in 2012 election]
 
Democrats can win the health care argument
Friday, July 20 2012

Tags: Democrats | Health Care | national | NPR | obama | Republican Party | super pacs | Supreme Court

Attachments:
Download this file (NPR July 2012 Toplines.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]211 Kb
Download this file (NPR Presentation - RR and DemCorps.pdf)Graphs[ ]202 Kb

alt

We learned a great deal about health care reform in the survey we conducted together with Resurgent Republic for NPR.  Above all, Democrats can feel very comfortable talking about it and engaging the Republicans and outside Super PACs with confidence that they will win.

This issue is dynamic.  It went from a loser for Democrats to one where it is essentially tied on most measures nationally.  Most of the debates in this poll on the basic idea of reform and taxes have achieved parity with the Republican arguments.  And Democrats win the argument against repeal and replace by a lot.  Republicans are advancing a losing argument and this could still move toward pro-reform positions in the coming months.  It is important to talk about health care.

Read more... [Democrats can win the health care argument]
 
Serious Attack on Ryan Budget Takes Toll on Mitt Romney
Wednesday, July 18 2012

Tags: battleground | child tax credit | democracy corps | economy | house | middle class | path to prosperity | poverty | refundable | romney | ryan | ryan budget | vulnerable

Attachments:
Download this file (dcor FQ_FULL 120627.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[20120627 FQ June National]222 Kb
Download this file (Dcorps Vulnerable June 2012 Graphs_FINAL.pdf)Graphs[20120627 Graphs June National ]1314 Kb
Download this file (DCorps_Vulnerable_June2012_FINAL.pdf)Memo[20120627 Memo June National ]893 Kb

The most recent survey and focus groups by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps reveal deep opposition to the Ryan budget– and its potential to damage Mitt Romney’s candidacy if he embraces it in the coming campaign. [1] At the outset, the Ryan budget (described in Ryan’s actual language) barely garners majority support. And voters raise serious doubts when they hear about proposed cuts—particularly to Medicare, education, and children of the working poor.

Read more... [Serious Attack on Ryan Budget Takes Toll on Mitt Romney]
 
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