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November 04, 2017

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October 18, 2017

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National Surveys
Who are the 47%?
Wednesday, September 19 2012


Just who has Mitt Romney written off?  More than half of all Obama voters attended college.  More than half of all Obama voters are women.  And more than half consider themselves to be middle class.  

Obama Builds Real Lead in Presidential Contest
Thursday, September 13 2012
Download this file (dcor.fq.09182012.web.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]196 Kb
Download this file (dcor.graphs.091312.pol.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1161 Kb
Download this file (dcor.memo.091312.pol.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]344 Kb

President Obama emerged from his convention with the biggest lead of the year in our polling—and at 50 percent in the race.  According to the latest national survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps, the President holds a 5-point lead on the ballot, up a net 3 points since just before the Republican convention.[1] With the Romney campaign reeling on issues unrelated to the economy, the President enters the fall campaign in a much stronger position to sustain a lead, bolstered by the dynamics of the race.  He has made gains among key groups in the progressive base, including unmarried women and young people and with key swing groups—climbing above 40 percent among white voters and making gains with white non-college-educated voters. 


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Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support
Saturday, August 11 2012

Tags: romney | ryan | ryan budget

Download this file (DCorps.Ryan.081112.pdf)Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support[Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support]610 Kb

When Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate this morning, the Wisconsin Congressman’s budget became constitutive to Romney’s candidacy—in selecting Ryan, Romney not only supports, but also adopts, the principles and priorities in Paul Ryan’s radical budget plan.  To be sure, Mitt Romney has already endorsed the Ryan budget. But today, Romney makes Ryan’s priorities his own. 

Last month, we released a memo underscoring the Ryan Budget’s potential detrimental impact on Mitt Romney.  When voters learned that Romney had given Ryan’s budget his full-throated support, they pulled back sharply—to the extent that President Obama’s lead against Romney more than doubled when the election was framed as a choice on the Ryan budget.  

Today, Mitt Romney has done more than align himself with the Ryan Budget’s misguided priorities for the American people, seniors, and the middle class.  He has made these priorities a cornerstone of his candidacy.

A Pivotal Political Moment on Health Care
Tuesday, July 31 2012
Download this file (072512_Dcorps-WVWV_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]299 Kb
Download this file (dcorps_wv_hc_FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1391 Kb
Download this file (DCorps_WV_Health_Care_FINAL_updated graphs.pdf)Memo[ ]853 Kb

Republicans are running heatedly on health care – repealing “ObamaCare” – and it is a cornerstone of their strategy.  Winning on health care is critical to their motivation and to what they believe is the edge they need to ultimately prevail over Obama and congressional Democrats in November.  This poll suggests that they are right that health care will be a significant factor in the vote, but very wrong on the consequences.  If Democrats take up the debate with confidence—educate voters on the benefits and, above all, denounce the battle to repeal and refight health care—they will win the issue.  Support for health care reform has risen steadily over this year; if proponents engage the issue, it is more likely to help than hurt in November.[1]  

Unmarried women – one of the main beneficiaries of health care reform – and one of the groups most affected by the economic crash—are also politically disengaged.  Their support for Obama now falls short of their 2008 vote by 10 points.  Importantly, they are also the voters who learn the most in this argument.  If Democrats take up health care in a serious way that is both educative and compelling—they are likely to make their biggest gains among these voters.

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Obama and Democrats have clear advantage in 2012 election
Thursday, July 26 2012

Tags: democracy corps | national | obama | romney

Download this file (Dcorps Political Graphs_FINAL 07302012.pdf)Graphs[ ]381 Kb
Download this file (July_Dcorps_political_ FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]152 Kb

The weekend media has reported the presidential race as virtually dead even and challenged the two campaigns -- what are your plans now?
But while the election is close, it is very important to underscore that President Obama and the Democrats have a clear--and in some respects powerful--advantage in the race.  This is reflected in the surveys we completed at the end of last week. 

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