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June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...
July 13, 2018

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue...

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy...

National Surveys
Winning ‘the 47 Percent’
Tuesday, October 09 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.wvwv.graphs.100912.LONG.FINAL.web.pdf)Graphs[ ]1457 Kb
Download this file (dcor.wvwv.memo.100912.final.pdf)Memo[ ]1477 Kb
Download this file (dcor.wvwv.natl.fq.093012.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]313 Kb

Single women, people of color and young people – the Rising American Electorate -- voted for change in 2008. To understand the dynamics of this election, Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund and Democracy Corps engaged in a three-phase research project with a particular emphasis on disengaged voters, Obama defectors, and unmarried women.  This project included a national survey, focus groups among unmarried and married women in Fairfax, Virginia and Columbus, Ohio, and dial meter research during the first presidential debate with follow up focus groups in Denver, Colorado.

What is clear is that unmarried women are more likely to engage and turn out when they are convinced they have a stake in the outcome of the election – and that there is a powerful argument that can be made to persuade them to show up and vote their values.

 

Read more... [Winning ‘the 47 Percent’]
 
New Poll with Resurgent Republic for NPR
Wednesday, October 03 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (npr.natl.fq.093012.FINAL.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]191 Kb

 

alt

This is the second bipartisan survey for NPR conducted by Democracy Corps and Resurgent Republic.  It is based on a national likely voter survey of 800 interviews, with an over-sample of interviews in the battleground states.  The observations herein do not reflect the views of NPR or of Resurgent Republic.

This survey shows Obama with a 7-point lead nationally and 6 points ahead in the battleground. Obviously, that would be a stunning result, but we will wait to see whether this survey is an advance indicator, as the last one was.

 

Read more... [New Poll with Resurgent Republic for NPR]
 
Who are the 47%?
Wednesday, September 19 2012

 

Just who has Mitt Romney written off?  More than half of all Obama voters attended college.  More than half of all Obama voters are women.  And more than half consider themselves to be middle class.  

 
Obama Builds Real Lead in Presidential Contest
Thursday, September 13 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.fq.09182012.web.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]196 Kb
Download this file (dcor.graphs.091312.pol.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1161 Kb
Download this file (dcor.memo.091312.pol.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]344 Kb

President Obama emerged from his convention with the biggest lead of the year in our polling—and at 50 percent in the race.  According to the latest national survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps, the President holds a 5-point lead on the ballot, up a net 3 points since just before the Republican convention.[1] With the Romney campaign reeling on issues unrelated to the economy, the President enters the fall campaign in a much stronger position to sustain a lead, bolstered by the dynamics of the race.  He has made gains among key groups in the progressive base, including unmarried women and young people and with key swing groups—climbing above 40 percent among white voters and making gains with white non-college-educated voters. 

 

Read more... [Obama Builds Real Lead in Presidential Contest]
 
Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support
Saturday, August 11 2012

Tags: romney | ryan | ryan budget

Attachments:
Download this file (DCorps.Ryan.081112.pdf)Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support[Paul Ryan Pick Could Seriously Erode Romney’s Support]610 Kb

When Mitt Romney announced Paul Ryan as his running mate this morning, the Wisconsin Congressman’s budget became constitutive to Romney’s candidacy—in selecting Ryan, Romney not only supports, but also adopts, the principles and priorities in Paul Ryan’s radical budget plan.  To be sure, Mitt Romney has already endorsed the Ryan budget. But today, Romney makes Ryan’s priorities his own. 

Last month, we released a memo underscoring the Ryan Budget’s potential detrimental impact on Mitt Romney.  When voters learned that Romney had given Ryan’s budget his full-throated support, they pulled back sharply—to the extent that President Obama’s lead against Romney more than doubled when the election was framed as a choice on the Ryan budget.  

Today, Mitt Romney has done more than align himself with the Ryan Budget’s misguided priorities for the American people, seniors, and the middle class.  He has made these priorities a cornerstone of his candidacy.

 
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