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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

National Surveys
The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election
Wednesday, November 14 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (110712 wvwv fq.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]58 Kb
Download this file (dcor.wvwv.memo.111412.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]662 Kb
Download this file (WVWV post-elect (final).pdf)Graphs[ ]489 Kb

Barack Obama won because he recognized a New America.  The President managed only 39 percent of the white vote, the lowest white percentage recorded for a winning national candidate, and suffered a 12-point swing against him among independent voters, but won both the popular vote and an Electoral College landslide by energizing voters we describe as the Rising American Electorate.  These voters—unmarried women, young people, Hispanics, and African Americans—not only delivered huge margins to the incumbent—nearly matching 2008 totals among unmarried women and African Americans, exceeding 2008 among Hispanics—but also turned out in ever greater numbers.  Collectively, these voters made up nearly half (48 percent)  of the 2012 electorate according to national exit poll estimates, up four points from 2008, including a 3 point increase among unmarried women. 

Read more... [The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election]
 
The real election and mandate
Tuesday, November 13 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.caf.postelec.graphs.111312.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1265 Kb
Download this file (dcor.caf.postelec.memo.111312.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]605 Kb
Download this file (dcor.cafpe.fq.110812.UPDATED.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]300 Kb

President Obama won an Electoral College landslide and a 3 or 4-point national victory – against the great odds posed by prolonged high unemployment, lack of income gains,  a barely perceptible recovery and political gridlock that kept his job approval at just 50 percent at best.   He won because he was able to engage the diverse national coalition of Latinos, African Americans and Asians, young people and unmarried women who formed nearly half the electorate, despite the fact that these groups suffered the brunt of recession and have benefited least from the halting recovery. 

He also succeeded because he waged class war and won.  That was how he was able to define the choice, winning back voters who had been hammered by the economy and getting them mobilized again.  That he waged class warfare successfully has critical consequences for what is the mandate in the weeks and months ahead.

Read more... [The real election and mandate]
 
Voters Push Back Against Big Money Politics
Tuesday, November 13 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.pcaf.postelect.memo.111312.final.pdf)Memo[ ]768 Kb
Download this file (dcor.pcafpe.fq.110812.UPDATED.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]236 Kb
Download this file (dcor.pcafpe.graphs.111312.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1690 Kb

In 2012, campaigns and outside groups spent a breath-taking $6 billion at the federal level, more than one billion of it was by Super PACs. A post-election survey conducted November 6-7, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Public Campaign Action Fund shows that voters are fed up with big money politics that they believe undermines democracy.  In an otherwise intensely partisan and divided electorate, concerns about money in politics unite voters across parties and demographic groups.[1] Changing money and politics is central to the mandate for change in this election – and unlike the potential bi-partisan deal on the budget – voters are united in their contempt for the corruption of money, clear about how the money is used to influence politicians, and open to major reforms to change it. Indeed, the more information voters hear about the scale of spending, the more open they are to major policy reforms. Among the survey’s findings:

·         Voters are deeply concerned that all of this money purchases influence in Congress and drowns out the voices of ordinary voters.  When asked who has the most influence on Congressional votes, the views of constituents ranked at the bottom of the list, while 59 percent of voters said “special interest groups and lobbyists” and almost half (46 percent) said campaign contributors.

Read more... [Voters Push Back Against Big Money Politics]
 
Post-Election: The Real Mandate
Thursday, November 08 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.cafpe.fq.110812.UPDATED.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]300 Kb
Download this file (dcor.cafpe.graphs.110812.FINALWEB.pdf)Graphs[ ]1232 Kb

Democracy Corps and Campaign for America's Future collaborated on this post-election survey of 2012 voters to establish their views of the priorities for the nation moving forward. 

 
And Voters Had a Lot to Say Too
Wednesday, November 07 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor pe 110712 final.pdf)Memo[ ]303 Kb

Last night was a good night for President Obama, Democrats, progressives and the country – and the voters had a lot to say about what determined their vote and what they want done to bring change. 

 

Read more... [And Voters Had a Lot to Say Too]
 
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