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November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

National Surveys
The Urgent Policy Agenda
Sunday, March 24 2013
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Less than a week after Paul Ryan released his latest budget—which would slash funding for Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, and child care—Republicans released a new report announcing that they will try harder to connect with young voters, minorities, and women. 

Read more... [The Urgent Policy Agenda]
New surveys from Democracy Corps
Wednesday, March 13 2013

The two newest surveys from Democracy Corps, a phone survey conducted March 9-12, 2013 of 950 2012 voters and a web survey of 1500 2012 voters conducted March 1-7, 2013, show the worry voters feel, both personally and for the country, over the sequester. They also show a path forward on economic messaging. 

The State of the Republican Party
Wednesday, January 16 2013
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Our first Democracy Corps national survey of 2013 shows the Republican Party and Congress unpopular and out of step with mainstream politics and values.

·         The Republican Party brand has steeply eroded since Election Day.  Half of all voters (51 percent) now give the Party a negative rating and a third rate the party very negatively (under 25 on our 100-point scale).

·         The Republican Congress’s job approval rating is at the lowest point in our tracking; almost three quarters (73 percent) of voters now disapprove.   And just a quarter of all voters (24 percent) give John Boehner a positive rating.

·         Americans do not trust Republican representatives and Congressional leaders to use good judgment when it comes to negotiating budget agreements with Democrats and the President.  By an 11-point margin, voters say they trust Democrats more than Republicans and by a 25-point margin, voters say they trust Barack Obama more than John Boehner.

·         On the other hand, Barack Obama’s job approval and personal ratings have climbed since the election and fiscal cliff agreement—54 percent approve of the President’s job performance and 53 percent give him a positive personal rating.


Strong majorities of voters view the Republican Party’s positions on critical economic and social issues as extreme.

·         On the rights of gays, 60 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 41 percent strongly.

·         On women’s issues, 55 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 40 percent strongly.

·         On providing aid to the poor, 59 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 39 percent strongly.

·         On setting tax levels for millionaires and big corporations, 59 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 43 percent strongly.

Don’t forget the election’s unbelievably clear mandate on Medicare and Social Security
Wednesday, December 05 2012
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The Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell told the Wall Street Journal last week that the President could get a budget deal to avoid the fiscal cliff if he agrees to raise the Medicare retirement age, raise premiums for some, and lower Social Security benefits for all.  And on Monday, Speaker John Boehner affirmed that his plan too begins with benefits cuts for Medicare and Social Security as the route to reduce entitlement spending. 


Read more... [Don’t forget the election’s unbelievably clear mandate on Medicare and Social Security]
The Mandate on Taxes
Wednesday, December 05 2012
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President Obama won an Electoral College landslide and a 4-point national victory – against the great odds posed by prolonged high unemployment, lack of income gains, a barely perceptible recovery and political gridlock that kept his job approval at just 50 percent at best.  Just as important as his victory is the mandate he won on taxes, according to the major national surveys conducted by Democracy Corps immediately after the election.[1]

While Congress debates the terms of a grand bargain on long-term deficit reduction to avoid the fiscal cliff, voters have clear and strong priorities on taxes – and these contrast starkly with the terms discussed in the President’s negotiations with House Speaker Boehner in the summer of 2011 and with the recommendations of the co-chairs of the President’s deficit commission, Alan Simpson and Erskine Bowles.  We want to bring these priorities to your attention as important choices and decisions are made in the coming weeks.  A strong majority of voters, including support from both parties, want to see taxes as part of any fiscal cliff deal – and it’s important not to ignore this mandate.

·         Almost two-thirds of the voters want tax increases as part of any big bi-partisan deal, and 40 percent believe that it at least half of any deficit reduction should come from revenue.  Just a third of those who voted for a Republican candidate for Congress believe the package should depend only on spending cuts.

·         Most voters (52 percent) would cancel or postpone the sequester, including a third who would postpone the tax increases and spending cuts until the economy is restored.

We asked voters what they would find acceptable and unacceptable in a $4 trillion deficit reduction deal.  Overwhelmingly, voters favor raising taxes on the rich as part of an overall package of deficit reduction.  Three in four found acceptable a plan that would create “a higher tax rate on those earning over one million dollars a year” (including a majority of Republicans).  Seventy percent agreed with the president’s call to raise taxes on the top 2 percent, while keeping them low for the middle and working class.  More than two-thirds found acceptable shutting down corporate tax havens abroad by imposing a minimum tax on overseas profits (including 71 percent of Republicans).  Indeed, more than two-thirds would find an agreement unacceptable if it did not raise taxes on the rich, or if it lowered top rates on the rich and the corporations.

Voters also want cuts in waste and subsidies to special interests -- much of which comes in the form of tax breaks to large corporations and the rich.  For example, 89 percent found acceptable savings from negotiating lower drug prices from drug companies.  Nearly two-thirds (65 percent) favored cuts in subsidies to oil companies, agribusiness and multinational corporations. 

Just as voters will be unpleasantly surprised if a deficit deal costs jobs and slows the economy, they are likely to object to legislators who vote for a deal that fails to raise tax rates on the rich and on corporations, or to take on wasteful corporate subsidies. 


[1] This memo is partly based on a national post-election survey of 811 2012 presidential voters, conducted November 6-7, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and the Economic Media Project. Unless otherwise noted, margin of error= +/- 3.46.  Survey results were weighted to reflect the National Exit Survey.  The memo is also based on a data from a combined set of surveys partnering with several other progressive groups, including Campaign for America’s Future, Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund and Human Rights Campaign.

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