Most Popular

November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
November 02, 2017

Disruptive changes among key...

There are big forces at work in the coming year that could produce an earthquake of an off-year election, including a parade of indictments, the GOP...

National Surveys
The State of the Republican Party
Wednesday, January 16 2013
Attachments:
Download this file (Dcor.graphs.011613.political.v6.pdf)Graphs[ ]1441 Kb
Download this file (dcor130114fq_FINAL.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]186 Kb

 

Our first Democracy Corps national survey of 2013 shows the Republican Party and Congress unpopular and out of step with mainstream politics and values.

·         The Republican Party brand has steeply eroded since Election Day.  Half of all voters (51 percent) now give the Party a negative rating and a third rate the party very negatively (under 25 on our 100-point scale).

·         The Republican Congress’s job approval rating is at the lowest point in our tracking; almost three quarters (73 percent) of voters now disapprove.   And just a quarter of all voters (24 percent) give John Boehner a positive rating.

·         Americans do not trust Republican representatives and Congressional leaders to use good judgment when it comes to negotiating budget agreements with Democrats and the President.  By an 11-point margin, voters say they trust Democrats more than Republicans and by a 25-point margin, voters say they trust Barack Obama more than John Boehner.

·         On the other hand, Barack Obama’s job approval and personal ratings have climbed since the election and fiscal cliff agreement—54 percent approve of the President’s job performance and 53 percent give him a positive personal rating.

 

Strong majorities of voters view the Republican Party’s positions on critical economic and social issues as extreme.

·         On the rights of gays, 60 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 41 percent strongly.

·         On women’s issues, 55 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 40 percent strongly.

·         On providing aid to the poor, 59 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 39 percent strongly.

·         On setting tax levels for millionaires and big corporations, 59 percent view the Republican Party as extreme, 43 percent strongly.

 
Don’t forget the election’s unbelievably clear mandate on Medicare and Social Security
Wednesday, December 05 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.pe.entitlement.memo.12512.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]566 Kb

 

The Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell told the Wall Street Journal last week that the President could get a budget deal to avoid the fiscal cliff if he agrees to raise the Medicare retirement age, raise premiums for some, and lower Social Security benefits for all.  And on Monday, Speaker John Boehner affirmed that his plan too begins with benefits cuts for Medicare and Social Security as the route to reduce entitlement spending. 

 

Read more... [Don’t forget the election’s unbelievably clear mandate on Medicare and Social Security]
 
The Mandate on Taxes
Wednesday, December 05 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.pe.demtaxes.memo.112812.v3.pdf)Memo[ ]179 Kb

 

President Obama won an Electoral College landslide and a 4-point national victory – against the great odds posed by prolonged high unemployment, lack of income gains, a barely perceptible recovery and political gridlock that kept his job approval at just 50 percent at best.  Just as important as his victory is the mandate he won on taxes, according to the major national surveys conducted by Democracy Corps immediately after the election.[1]

While Congress debates the terms of a grand bargain on long-term deficit reduction to avoid the fiscal cliff, voters have clear and strong priorities on taxes – and these contrast starkly with the terms discussed in the President’s negotiations with House Speaker Boehner in the summer of 2011 and with the recommendations of the co-chairs of the President’s deficit commission, Alan Simpson and Erskine Bowles.  We want to bring these priorities to your attention as important choices and decisions are made in the coming weeks.  A strong majority of voters, including support from both parties, want to see taxes as part of any fiscal cliff deal – and it’s important not to ignore this mandate.

·         Almost two-thirds of the voters want tax increases as part of any big bi-partisan deal, and 40 percent believe that it at least half of any deficit reduction should come from revenue.  Just a third of those who voted for a Republican candidate for Congress believe the package should depend only on spending cuts.

·         Most voters (52 percent) would cancel or postpone the sequester, including a third who would postpone the tax increases and spending cuts until the economy is restored.

We asked voters what they would find acceptable and unacceptable in a $4 trillion deficit reduction deal.  Overwhelmingly, voters favor raising taxes on the rich as part of an overall package of deficit reduction.  Three in four found acceptable a plan that would create “a higher tax rate on those earning over one million dollars a year” (including a majority of Republicans).  Seventy percent agreed with the president’s call to raise taxes on the top 2 percent, while keeping them low for the middle and working class.  More than two-thirds found acceptable shutting down corporate tax havens abroad by imposing a minimum tax on overseas profits (including 71 percent of Republicans).  Indeed, more than two-thirds would find an agreement unacceptable if it did not raise taxes on the rich, or if it lowered top rates on the rich and the corporations.

Voters also want cuts in waste and subsidies to special interests -- much of which comes in the form of tax breaks to large corporations and the rich.  For example, 89 percent found acceptable savings from negotiating lower drug prices from drug companies.  Nearly two-thirds (65 percent) favored cuts in subsidies to oil companies, agribusiness and multinational corporations. 

Just as voters will be unpleasantly surprised if a deficit deal costs jobs and slows the economy, they are likely to object to legislators who vote for a deal that fails to raise tax rates on the rich and on corporations, or to take on wasteful corporate subsidies. 

 


[1] This memo is partly based on a national post-election survey of 811 2012 presidential voters, conducted November 6-7, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and the Economic Media Project. Unless otherwise noted, margin of error= +/- 3.46.  Survey results were weighted to reflect the National Exit Survey.  The memo is also based on a data from a combined set of surveys partnering with several other progressive groups, including Campaign for America’s Future, Women’s Voices. Women Vote Action Fund and Human Rights Campaign.

 
The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election
Wednesday, November 14 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (110712 wvwv fq.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]58 Kb
Download this file (dcor.wvwv.memo.111412.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]662 Kb
Download this file (WVWV post-elect (final).pdf)Graphs[ ]489 Kb

Barack Obama won because he recognized a New America.  The President managed only 39 percent of the white vote, the lowest white percentage recorded for a winning national candidate, and suffered a 12-point swing against him among independent voters, but won both the popular vote and an Electoral College landslide by energizing voters we describe as the Rising American Electorate.  These voters—unmarried women, young people, Hispanics, and African Americans—not only delivered huge margins to the incumbent—nearly matching 2008 totals among unmarried women and African Americans, exceeding 2008 among Hispanics—but also turned out in ever greater numbers.  Collectively, these voters made up nearly half (48 percent)  of the 2012 electorate according to national exit poll estimates, up four points from 2008, including a 3 point increase among unmarried women. 

Read more... [The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election]
 
The real election and mandate
Tuesday, November 13 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.caf.postelec.graphs.111312.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1265 Kb
Download this file (dcor.caf.postelec.memo.111312.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]605 Kb
Download this file (dcor.cafpe.fq.110812.UPDATED.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]300 Kb

President Obama won an Electoral College landslide and a 3 or 4-point national victory – against the great odds posed by prolonged high unemployment, lack of income gains,  a barely perceptible recovery and political gridlock that kept his job approval at just 50 percent at best.   He won because he was able to engage the diverse national coalition of Latinos, African Americans and Asians, young people and unmarried women who formed nearly half the electorate, despite the fact that these groups suffered the brunt of recession and have benefited least from the halting recovery. 

He also succeeded because he waged class war and won.  That was how he was able to define the choice, winning back voters who had been hammered by the economy and getting them mobilized again.  That he waged class warfare successfully has critical consequences for what is the mandate in the weeks and months ahead.

Read more... [The real election and mandate]
 
<< Start < Prev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Next > End >>

Page 10 of 35