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May 18, 2018

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Rewriting the Rules of the Economy
The Election, Economy, and Policy Implications
Friday, November 09 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.ecnpe.fq.110812.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]175 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnpe.graphs.110912.v10.pdf)Graphs[ ]1475 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnpe.targets.110712.pdf)Crosstabs[ ]274 Kb

These observations about the economy and election are based primarily on a new election night survey conducted for the Economy Media Project — conducted the nights of November 6th and 7th — with 800 voters.  This is a unique survey that explores why people voted the way they did, the impact of the economy, and the policy implications.

  • The public mood on the macro economy, personal finances, and the job market all ticked up just before Election Day, but basic indicators of personal financial circumstances have not improved and remain tough for people.
  • Those who either voted for or considered voting for Obama did so first because of his economic actions — getting through the crisis—but also his future plans, including getting the rich to pay more.  They also supported him because of the Affordable Care Act and Medicare, as well as his support for women and minorities.
  • The vote against Romney was single-minded: Romney was for the rich and out of touch with the middle class, re-enforced by the 47 Percent and Bain Capital.
  • This was a battle for the future of the middle class and Obama won that war.
Read more... [The Election, Economy, and Policy Implications]
 
Obama closing on progress or future
Friday, October 19 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.ecnw.graphs.pol.101912.v4.pdf)Graphs[ ]1229 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnw.pol.fq.101912.PDF)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]630 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnw.pol.memo.101912.pdf)Memo[ ]937 Kb

Unique web test says, would you believe, ‘both’

With the election campaign reaching the eve of the last debate, President Obama has talked extensively about his future plans in the very successful second debate, and has aired an ad narrated by Morgan Freeman, talking about progress made in the last four years and concluding, "The last thing we should do is turn back now."  On the stump, the president has posed the choice between enriching the top again and finishing the job: “We can choose to go back to the same top-down policies that got us into this mess, or you can choose to move us forward with the policies that have been getting us out of this mess.”

Read more... [Obama closing on progress or future]
 
James Carville and Stan Greenberg: The big things that Obama can get done at his convention
Tuesday, September 04 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.ecnp.ealert.graphs.090312.v1.pdf)Graphs[ ]1216 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnp.fq.082812.web.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]177 Kb
Download this file (dcorps.convention.points.090312.memo.final.pdf)Memo[ ]392 Kb

This is a close presidential race where President Obama and the Democrats still need a good convention to get momentum and define the choice in the election to lock in their 3- or 4-point lead.  In our view, that is very likely.

The reason why we think it is important to have a good convention is that the real economy is so difficult that it gives Romney and the Republicans an audience on spending and budgets, even when the country views them with disdain.  In the survey we conducted just before the Republican convention, Obama maintained a 2-point lead.  But because Republican-leaning independents pay more attention in this period and are a larger portion of the national survey, the survey results are tough: the President fell to 6 points behind Romney and Democrats 9 points behind Republicans on who would do a better job on the economy.  That poll shows people struggling in their personal economies, which were weakening further, even as there was more churning in the job market.   As a result, the president was barely winning big economic arguments in the survey.

 

Read more... [James Carville and Stan Greenberg: The big things that Obama can get done at his convention]
 
Impacting the Big Economic Argument
Wednesday, August 22 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (DCor.ecnweb.FQ.08012012.WEBSITE.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]1676 Kb
Download this file (Dcor.econ.graphs.082212.WEBSITE.pdf)Graphs[ ]1837 Kb

These graphs analyze results from a national web survey of likely 2012 voters.  This experiment tested videos of nationally-recognized economists speaking about economic problems and presenting solutions based on their analysis.  This was a powerful and successful experiment, which produced a great deal of learning. We were able to successfully measure moment-to-moment reactions, speakers’ credibility and memorability, their impact on partisan economic positions, delivery on key tenets, and the big economic argument.[1]

 

Read more... [Impacting the Big Economic Argument]
 
Shifting the Economic Narrative
Monday, June 11 2012

Tags: democracy corps | economy | focus groups | gqr | obama

Attachments:
Download this file (DCorps_economy_FG1_report2-FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]745 Kb

What is clear from this fresh look at public consciousness on the economy is how difficult this period has been for both non-college-educated and college-educated voters – and how vulnerable the prevailing narratives articulated by national Democratic leaders are.[1]  We will face an impossible headwind in November if we do not move to a new narrative, one that contextualizes the recovery but, more importantly, focuses on what we will do to make a better future for the middle class.

Read more... [Shifting the Economic Narrative]
 
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