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January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...

SOTU 2018: No Sugar High
Friday, February 02 2018

President Donald Trump delivered a remarkably unsuccessful, unimpactful State of the Union on Tuesday. This is according to live dial-meter research conducted for Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund by Democracy Corps among 108 Rising American Electorate (RAE) voters – the voters that will decide control of Congress in 2018.[1] Presidents usually receive a post-address sugar high in dial groups, but President Trump’s speech produced a particularly small rise in personal favorability and job performance – increases smaller than those observed in last year’s unsuccessful Joint Session to Congress. He failed to use this once-a-year opportunity to shift the momentum in the generic congressional ballot toward the GOP, which is the humblest expectation when a president has a devoted national audience for 90 minutes. In fact, he produced a 12-point shift to the Democrats among the white millennial participants in our dial-group. Critically, he increased the determination of white unmarried women, Latinos, and African Americans to vote in 2018.