Most Popular

November 18, 2018

Trump Is Beginning to Lose His...

By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018.    America’s polarized citizenry...
December 10, 2018

Unmarried Women in 2018

Unmarried women comprised 23 percent of the national electorate and played a decisive role in the 2018 wave. Like other women, many unmarried women...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

Obama Emerges Ahead in Ohio
Monday, October 06 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | mccain | obama | ohio

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/obama-winning-ohio-100408v3.pdf)Memo[ ]53 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/ohsw100108fq1_pb1.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]32 Kb

On the heels of the news that John McCain permanently suspended his campaign in economically strapped Michigan, its southern neighbor Ohio now favors Barack Obama over McCain 49 to 43 percent, a lead built on an impressive 48 to 35 percent edge among independent voters. McCain's attempt to seize the mantle of change is falling on deaf ears in Ohio as by 24 points, voters in the Buckeye state believe Obama, not McCain, is the reformer and by 18 points, Ohioans believe Obama will bring the right kind of change. And in a state where the economy is king, Obama's aggressive positioning of the economic contrast with McCain has produced an 11-point Obama lead on which candidate will do a better job on the economy.

This memo is based on a survey of 600 likely voters across Ohio conducted September 29 - October 1, 2008. We hope that you find this analysis useful in your work and if you have any questions or comments, please contact us at 202-478-8300.