Most Popular

November 04, 2017

The Democratic Civil War Is...

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017. On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his...
October 18, 2017

Democrats Need to Lead the Fight...

This op-ed appeared in The Huffington Post on October 18, 2017.   Donald Trump remains deeply unpopular with the American people, and his...
September 21, 2017

How She Lost

By Stanley Greenberg for the Fall 2017 issue of The American Prospect.   Hillary Clinton’s tragic 2016 campaign faced withering criticism in...

First Survey in the 2008 Battleground Districts
Tuesday, June 19 2007

Tags: battleground | campaign | Carville | democracy corps | Democrats | Greenberg | house | incumbents | Iparraguirre | Republican Party

Download this file (bg08061507fq1.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]150 Kb

This survey, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner's first battleground poll for Democracy Corps in 2007, finds the center of the American electoral battlefield has shifted as much since the 2006 election as it did in 2006 campaign. With an unpopular President and an even more unpopular war, Republicans are ceding territory and opening new areas for Democrats. Indeed, Democratic congressional candidates in this named ballot hold on average a 9-point lead in these districts that actually supported the Republican candidate by 1 point in 2006 and President Bush by 8 points in 2004.

Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner have completed our first Congressional battleground poll since the 2006 election, conducting 1,600 interviews in 70 Congressional Districts - half Democratic and half Republican - that constitute the seats most likely to be in play in 2008. The survey was conducted June 10-14, 2007, and shows Democrats leading 56-36 in the Democratic-held districts and holding a 45-43 advantage in the top half of the Republican-held districts. The electoral situation in the battleground could not be better for Democrats, as they are positioned to readily defend their own seats while further expanding their gains from 2006. In their latest strategy memo, Stan Greenberg, James Carville, and Ana Iparraguirre demonstrate how Democrats should remain on the offensive with bursts of engagement on Iraq - which is central to the structure of the race - and with bursts of progress on domestic issues that show Democrats are part of the change.