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Battleground Surveys
Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts
Tuesday, October 27 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | obama

With Charlie Cook and Republican leaders raising the prospect of Democrats losing control of the Congress, we thought it important to expand the battleground early and determine whether a loss of 41 seats was in the offing based on current polling or whether Democrats are even facing losses greater than the norm for an off-year election.  We expanded our 40-seat Democratic battleground to 55 in addition to the 20 Republican districts we’ve been polling in – and expanded our sample size to 2,000.[1]

Read more... [Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts]
 
Congressional Battleground Survey
Tuesday, October 06 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents

Attachments:
Download this file (bg10.101609.final.web.pdf)Graphs[ ]285 Kb

Survey of 1,500 likely voters across the Congressional Battleground

 

 
Congressional Battleground Survey
Friday, July 17 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party

Attachments:
Download this file (bg10071609fq3.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]94 Kb

Congressional Battleground Survey

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The Congressional Battleground Also a Surprise at 100 Days
Monday, April 27 2009
Attachments:
Download this file (bg10042109fq2web1.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]111 Kb
Download this file (congressional-battleground-after-100-days-condenced042709.pdf)Graphs[ ]283 Kb

The congressional battleground districts for 2010 may not act to type, according to a new survey by Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research in the 40 most marginal Democratic seats where nearly all expect Republicans to reclaim lost ground and the 15 most marginal Republican seats where incumbents should be safe. But as most commentators stop to contemplate the president's first 100 days, they should also look at the congressional dynamic. With Congress poised to vote on the president's budget, the Democratic incumbents are winning over 50 percent of the vote” stable over the last three months”and hold double-digit leads against their generic challengers.

Read more... [The Congressional Battleground Also a Surprise at 100 Days]
 
Analysis: Report on survey in the 40 Democratic and 15 Republican congressional battleground districts
Monday, April 27 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party

The congressional battleground districts for 2010 may not act to type, according to a new survey by Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research in the 40 most marginal Democratic seats where nearly all expect Republicans to reclaim lost ground and the 15 most marginal Republican seats where incumbents should be safe. But as most commentators stop to contemplate the president’s first 100 days, they should also look at the congressional dynamic. With Congress poised to vote on the president’s budget, the Democratic incumbents are winning over 50 percent of the vote — stable over the last three months — and hold double-digit leads against their generic challengers. Indeed, the Democrats in the most difficult 20 seats (top tier) enjoy a lead twice the size of that for the most vulnerable Republican incumbents who fail to top 50 percent and who lose ground after the budget debate in this survey. Republicans are still on defense, while President Obama remains very popular across all of these districts.[1]

Read more... [Analysis: Report on survey in the 40 Democratic and 15 Republican congressional battleground districts]
 
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