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Battleground Surveys
The Economy at a Sensitive Juncture
Tuesday, November 03 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | economy | incumbents

Attachments:
Download this file (bg08103009m2EconomyFINAL1.pdf)Memo[ ]100 Kb
Download this file (DEMBGlistTier12.October.pdf)Democratic-Held Districts[ ]22 Kb
Download this file (Republican-Battleground-Districts-October1.pdf)Republican-Held Districts[ ]18 Kb

With GDP growth having finally returned, but unemployment still rising slowly toward 10 percent, the economy is at a sensitive juncture as an issue for the 2010 elections. Almost half of voters in the 60 most competitive Democratic and Republican congressional districts now rate their personal finances positively and half believe the economic recovery plan passed by Congress and signed by the president will have a positive impact. Yet, only 16 percent have a positive view of the current economy and only a third think the economy is “starting" to improve. Independents are particularly pessimistic on economic issues, with important consequences for the midterm elections.

Read more... [The Economy at a Sensitive Juncture]
 
Analysis: Time for Benefits for the Middle Class, Not Premature Credit for a Turnaround
Tuesday, November 03 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | economy | house | incumbents | middle class | obama | stimulus

With GDP growth having finally returned, but unemployment still rising slowly toward 10 percent, the economy is at a sensitive juncture as an issue for the 2010 elections.  Almost half of voters in the 60 most competitive Democratic and Republican congressional districts now rate their personal finances positively and half believe the economic recovery plan passed by Congress and signed by the president will have a positive impact. Yet, only 16 percent have a positive view of the current economy and only a third think the economy is “starting” to improve.  Independents are particularly pessimistic on economic issues, with important consequences for the midterm elections.

Read more... [Analysis: Time for Benefits for the Middle Class, Not Premature Credit for a Turnaround]
 
2010 Congressional Battleground: Stable and Within Normal Historical Range
Tuesday, October 27 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party

Attachments:
Download this file (bg08102709mFINAL2.pdf)Memo[ ]134 Kb
Download this file (bg10101108fq4_demtier3.web.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]29 Kb
Download this file (bg10101109bbk4_demtier3_targets_web.pdf)Toplines[ ]109 Kb

With Charlie Cook and Republican leaders raising the prospect of Democrats losing control of the Congress in 2010, we thought it important to expand the Democracy Corps congressional battleground early to determine whether a loss of 41 seats was in the offing based on current polling. A new survey from Democracy Corps conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research across the 75 most competitive congressional districts suggests potential losses for the Democrats well within the normal historical range.  Their losses will be offset by some further Republican losses and are unlikely to approach what it would take for Republicans to regain congressional control.

Read more... [2010 Congressional Battleground: Stable and Within Normal Historical Range]
 
Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts
Tuesday, October 27 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | obama

With Charlie Cook and Republican leaders raising the prospect of Democrats losing control of the Congress, we thought it important to expand the battleground early and determine whether a loss of 41 seats was in the offing based on current polling or whether Democrats are even facing losses greater than the norm for an off-year election.  We expanded our 40-seat Democratic battleground to 55 in addition to the 20 Republican districts we’ve been polling in – and expanded our sample size to 2,000.[1]

Read more... [Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts]
 
Congressional Battleground Survey
Tuesday, October 06 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents

Attachments:
Download this file (bg10.101609.final.web.pdf)Graphs[ ]285 Kb

Survey of 1,500 likely voters across the Congressional Battleground

 

 
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