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Battleground Surveys
Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground
Monday, December 19 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | rising american electorate | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (WVWV-December-Battleground-Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]1342 Kb

The Rising American Electorate provides opportunities to consolidate gains in the Republican battleground.

A new Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund (WVWVAF) survey shows incumbents in 60 Republican-held battleground districts badly out of touch with voters -- especially with the Rising American Electorate (RAE).  These voters (unmarried women, African Americans and Hispanics, and youth) account for a majority of the nation's voting eligible population (53 percent). They drove progressive victories in 2006 and 2008, delivering 69 percent of their vote to congressional Democrats in national surveys.  Opportunities in 2012 for progressive candidates would be much broader if the RAE vote was consolidated and achieved those historic support levels.

Read more... [Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground]
 
Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable
Friday, December 09 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | vulnerable | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (6904_December_BG_Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]124 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_marchbg_web.pdf)Crosstabs - March 2011[ ]1356 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_web.pdf)Crosstabs[ ]1166 Kb
Download this file (Dec-Battleground-FQ2.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]249 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/December-Battleground-Survey-Graphs_website2.pdf)Graphs[ ]692 Kb

These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground.

The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground shows the incumbents out of touch with their districts, a climate less favorable to Republicans, weakening support and vulnerability to attack.  With numbers virtually identical to those of Democratic incumbents leading into the 2010 disaster, the House is surely in play in 2012.[1] The president is now dead even in these districts, while the image of everything Republican has fallen, above all, 'the Republican Congress.'  These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground, particularly with independents where Democrats trail by only 6 points. This is a unique survey conducted in the battleground of the most competitive House seats for 2012: 48 of the 60 were carried by Obama in 2008. These are swing districts and are where control of Congress will likely be decided in 2012.

Read more... [Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable]
 
The Explosive Republican-Obama Battleground
Thursday, September 22 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | obama

Attachments:
Download this file (6806_FrequencyQuestionnaire92011.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]255 Kb
Download this file (6807_DCorps BG Sept FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1055 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110919bbk1.pdf)Banner Book[ ]1396 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110919bbk1_marchbg.pdf)March BG Banner Book[ ]1623 Kb
Download this file (ExplosiveBattlegroundMemo.pdf)Memo[ ]308 Kb

The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground seats confirms that 2012 will be an explosive year. These Republicans swept into Washington on the tide of a change wave but are now facing what could be a change election with an even higher wave, and these seats are anything but secure. The difference from the last three elections is that this wave seems to be threatening everything in its path.

Read more... [The Explosive Republican-Obama Battleground]
 
The Budget Battle in the Republican-Obama Battleground
Monday, March 28 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | economy | house | obama | ryan budget

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110317fq1.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]87 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/DCBG1-Full-Deck-FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]322 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/DCBG1BUDGETFINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]148 Kb

The Republicans' proposed budget cuts are in trouble in the 50 most competitive Republican-held Congressional districts - nearly all of which gave a majority to Obama in the last presidential election. Support drops dramatically after respondents hear balanced information and messages, and incumbents in these battleground seats find themselves even more endangered.

Read more... [The Budget Battle in the Republican-Obama Battleground]
 
Republican-Obama Battleground Contested
Friday, March 25 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | economy | house | incumbents

Attachments:
Download this file (bg12110317fqPOLITICAL.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]53 Kb
Download this file (DCBG1-Political-FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]158 Kb
Download this file (DCBG1Memov1032311POLITICAL_FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]102 Kb

A new survey by Democracy Corps in 50 of the most competitive Republican-held Congressional districts - nearly all of which gave a majority to Obama in the last presidential election - shows the new Republican majority very much in play in 2012.[1] This survey in these battleground seats shows a significant erosion of the Republican members' vote and significant change in electoral dynamics. The votes these members are casting in support of the Tea Party agenda and House budget will come with a significant political price.

Read more... [Republican-Obama Battleground Contested]
 
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