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November 09, 2018

The Rising American Electorate...

The Democrats had a very big election on Tuesday, with a 5-point national congressional margin that allowed them to pick up 32 House seats, to elect a...
June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...

Battleground Surveys
Women Push Back in the Battleground
Wednesday, April 18 2012

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | ryan | women | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (040412_WVWV_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]92 Kb
Download this file (WVWVAF-battleground-women-summary.pdf)Memo[ ]441 Kb

In 2010, Republicans won the women's vote for the first time in 30 years. Republicans rewarded this support with a raft of legislation hostile to the interests of women, beginning with one of their first pieces of legislation, H.R. 3, which attempted to redefine rape to deny emergency contraceptive services to crime victims. For much of 2011, women did not seem to notice. This may be changing. The Republicans' more recent decision to reignite the culture war, boorish comments by a radio talk show host, and a budget proposal and debate that aims dead-square against the economic interests of many women in this country may have awakened the women's vote. Women are starting to push back. A recent Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund survey in the Congressional battleground shows Democrats making significant gains among women in districts held by Republican incumbents. In the Republican-held districts where we have data from last year, Democrats picked up a net 10 points among women since December and now lead by 4 points.

Read more... [Women Push Back in the Battleground]
 
Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground
Monday, December 19 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | rising american electorate | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (WVWV-December-Battleground-Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]1342 Kb

The Rising American Electorate provides opportunities to consolidate gains in the Republican battleground.

A new Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund (WVWVAF) survey shows incumbents in 60 Republican-held battleground districts badly out of touch with voters -- especially with the Rising American Electorate (RAE).  These voters (unmarried women, African Americans and Hispanics, and youth) account for a majority of the nation's voting eligible population (53 percent). They drove progressive victories in 2006 and 2008, delivering 69 percent of their vote to congressional Democrats in national surveys.  Opportunities in 2012 for progressive candidates would be much broader if the RAE vote was consolidated and achieved those historic support levels.

Read more... [Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground]
 
Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable
Friday, December 09 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | vulnerable | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (6904_December_BG_Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]124 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_marchbg_web.pdf)Crosstabs - March 2011[ ]1356 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_web.pdf)Crosstabs[ ]1166 Kb
Download this file (Dec-Battleground-FQ2.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]249 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/December-Battleground-Survey-Graphs_website2.pdf)Graphs[ ]692 Kb

These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground.

The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground shows the incumbents out of touch with their districts, a climate less favorable to Republicans, weakening support and vulnerability to attack.  With numbers virtually identical to those of Democratic incumbents leading into the 2010 disaster, the House is surely in play in 2012.[1] The president is now dead even in these districts, while the image of everything Republican has fallen, above all, 'the Republican Congress.'  These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground, particularly with independents where Democrats trail by only 6 points. This is a unique survey conducted in the battleground of the most competitive House seats for 2012: 48 of the 60 were carried by Obama in 2008. These are swing districts and are where control of Congress will likely be decided in 2012.

Read more... [Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable]
 
The Explosive Republican-Obama Battleground
Thursday, September 22 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | obama

Attachments:
Download this file (6806_FrequencyQuestionnaire92011.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]255 Kb
Download this file (6807_DCorps BG Sept FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1055 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110919bbk1.pdf)Banner Book[ ]1396 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110919bbk1_marchbg.pdf)March BG Banner Book[ ]1623 Kb
Download this file (ExplosiveBattlegroundMemo.pdf)Memo[ ]308 Kb

The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground seats confirms that 2012 will be an explosive year. These Republicans swept into Washington on the tide of a change wave but are now facing what could be a change election with an even higher wave, and these seats are anything but secure. The difference from the last three elections is that this wave seems to be threatening everything in its path.

Read more... [The Explosive Republican-Obama Battleground]
 
The Budget Battle in the Republican-Obama Battleground
Monday, March 28 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | economy | house | obama | ryan budget

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12110317fq1.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]87 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/DCBG1-Full-Deck-FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]322 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/DCBG1BUDGETFINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]148 Kb

The Republicans' proposed budget cuts are in trouble in the 50 most competitive Republican-held Congressional districts - nearly all of which gave a majority to Obama in the last presidential election. Support drops dramatically after respondents hear balanced information and messages, and incumbents in these battleground seats find themselves even more endangered.

Read more... [The Budget Battle in the Republican-Obama Battleground]
 
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