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Battleground Surveys
100 Days Out: From Serious Vulnerability to a Wave Election
Sunday, August 05 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (072612_DcorpsBG_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]307 Kb
Download this file (DCorps_July_Battleground_Memo_final.pdf)Memo[ ]1420 Kb
Download this file (July Battleground Survey Graphs_final_v2.pdf)Graphs[ ]1732 Kb

Less than 100 days until the election, the latest battleground survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps shows Democrats with an advantage in the most vulnerable tier of Republican districts.  The first Democracy Corps survey of the reapportioned battleground shows Republican incumbents in serious and worsening trouble.  The 2012 campaign has just turned the corner on 100 days and the message of this survey could not be clearer: these 54 battleground Republicans are very vulnerable and many will lose their seats. 

Read more... [100 Days Out: From Serious Vulnerability to a Wave Election]
 
Democrats Gaining in Battleground and Ryan Budget Could Finish the Job
Wednesday, April 18 2012

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | path to prosperity | ryan | vulnerable | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/April-Battleground-FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]309 Kb
Download this file (April-Battleground-Graphs.pdf)Graphs[ ]1635 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/April-Battleground-Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]484 Kb

Last month, virtually all House Republicans voted for Paul Ryan's latest budget plan(“The Path to Prosperity")and according to the latest battleground survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund, they will pay the price in November.[1] In this survey of 1000 likely voters in the 56 most competitive Republican-held districts, the climate has shifted in favor of the Democrats.  Voters view the Democratic Party more favorably than the Republican Party, the President is viewed far more favorably than Mitt Romney, and both the President and congressional Democrats have made gains on the ballot since last September.

Read more... [Democrats Gaining in Battleground and Ryan Budget Could Finish the Job]
 
Women Push Back in the Battleground
Wednesday, April 18 2012

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | ryan | women | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (040412_WVWV_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]92 Kb
Download this file (WVWVAF-battleground-women-summary.pdf)Memo[ ]441 Kb

In 2010, Republicans won the women's vote for the first time in 30 years. Republicans rewarded this support with a raft of legislation hostile to the interests of women, beginning with one of their first pieces of legislation, H.R. 3, which attempted to redefine rape to deny emergency contraceptive services to crime victims. For much of 2011, women did not seem to notice. This may be changing. The Republicans' more recent decision to reignite the culture war, boorish comments by a radio talk show host, and a budget proposal and debate that aims dead-square against the economic interests of many women in this country may have awakened the women's vote. Women are starting to push back. A recent Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund survey in the Congressional battleground shows Democrats making significant gains among women in districts held by Republican incumbents. In the Republican-held districts where we have data from last year, Democrats picked up a net 10 points among women since December and now lead by 4 points.

Read more... [Women Push Back in the Battleground]
 
Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground
Monday, December 19 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | rising american electorate | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (WVWV-December-Battleground-Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]1342 Kb

The Rising American Electorate provides opportunities to consolidate gains in the Republican battleground.

A new Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund (WVWVAF) survey shows incumbents in 60 Republican-held battleground districts badly out of touch with voters -- especially with the Rising American Electorate (RAE).  These voters (unmarried women, African Americans and Hispanics, and youth) account for a majority of the nation's voting eligible population (53 percent). They drove progressive victories in 2006 and 2008, delivering 69 percent of their vote to congressional Democrats in national surveys.  Opportunities in 2012 for progressive candidates would be much broader if the RAE vote was consolidated and achieved those historic support levels.

Read more... [Exploiting Republican Weakness in the Battleground]
 
Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable
Friday, December 09 2011

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | vulnerable | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (6904_December_BG_Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]124 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_marchbg_web.pdf)Crosstabs - March 2011[ ]1356 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg12_111207bbk3_web.pdf)Crosstabs[ ]1166 Kb
Download this file (Dec-Battleground-FQ2.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]249 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/December-Battleground-Survey-Graphs_website2.pdf)Graphs[ ]692 Kb

These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground.

The latest Democracy Corps survey of the Republican House battleground shows the incumbents out of touch with their districts, a climate less favorable to Republicans, weakening support and vulnerability to attack.  With numbers virtually identical to those of Democratic incumbents leading into the 2010 disaster, the House is surely in play in 2012.[1] The president is now dead even in these districts, while the image of everything Republican has fallen, above all, 'the Republican Congress.'  These 'no-tax' Republicans are out of touch with their districts, polling below 50 percent, and losing ground, particularly with independents where Democrats trail by only 6 points. This is a unique survey conducted in the battleground of the most competitive House seats for 2012: 48 of the 60 were carried by Obama in 2008. These are swing districts and are where control of Congress will likely be decided in 2012.

Read more... [Republican Incumbents Out of Touch and Increasingly Vulnerable]
 
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