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Battleground Surveys
Not so fast: 2014 Congressional Battleground Very Competitive
Thursday, June 20 2013
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor bg memo 062113 FINAL.pdf)Memo[June 2013 BG memo]945 Kb
Download this file (dcor.bg.fq.061313.public.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[FQ June 2013 Battleground]262 Kb
Download this file (dcor.bg.graphs.062013.v6.pdf)Graphs[June 2013 BG graphs]1487 Kb

The first Democracy Corps Congressional Battleground survey of the most competitive House races will challenge serious commentary and the informed presumptions about the 2014 election.  Analysts, pundits, and commentators have concluded that there will be fewer seats in play in 2014 and that neither party is likely to upset the current balance.  To be honest, this poll surprised us. It shows Democrats could at least replicate the net gain of 8 seats they achieved in 2012 – and that Republicans are exposed as the country tires of Tea Party gridlock, Obamacare repeal efforts, threats to Medicare and Social Security, and politicians protecting the richest.[1]  The parties’ strongest attacks, including on health care, produce big gains for Democrats – bigger shifts than we have seen in a long time.  In the past, that has been a precursor to future gains.

Read more... [Not so fast: 2014 Congressional Battleground Very Competitive]
 
In Congressional Battleground, Voters Intensely Concerned About Money in Politics
Monday, October 01 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.pcaf. bg.fq 092512.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]143 Kb
Download this file (dcor.pcaf.graphs.093012.FINAL.pdf)Graphs[ ]1491 Kb
Download this file (dcor.pcaf.memo.093012.v4.pdf)Memo[ ]1129 Kb

 

In this intensely partisan season, money in politics is one issue that breaks through the partisanship and the campaign media fog. This newbattleground survey, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Public Campaign Action Fund in the 54 most competitive congressional seats held by Republicans, finds that voters from both parties and all demographic groups are intensely concerned about the corruption of the democratic system.[1] By more than a two-to-one margin, voters say that the current system of “big donors and secret money…undermines democracy.” 

 

Read more... [In Congressional Battleground, Voters Intensely Concerned About Money in Politics]
 
100 Days Out: From Serious Vulnerability to a Wave Election
Sunday, August 05 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (072612_DcorpsBG_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]307 Kb
Download this file (DCorps_July_Battleground_Memo_final.pdf)Memo[ ]1420 Kb
Download this file (July Battleground Survey Graphs_final_v2.pdf)Graphs[ ]1732 Kb

Less than 100 days until the election, the latest battleground survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps shows Democrats with an advantage in the most vulnerable tier of Republican districts.  The first Democracy Corps survey of the reapportioned battleground shows Republican incumbents in serious and worsening trouble.  The 2012 campaign has just turned the corner on 100 days and the message of this survey could not be clearer: these 54 battleground Republicans are very vulnerable and many will lose their seats. 

Read more... [100 Days Out: From Serious Vulnerability to a Wave Election]
 
Democrats Gaining in Battleground and Ryan Budget Could Finish the Job
Wednesday, April 18 2012

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | path to prosperity | ryan | vulnerable | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/April-Battleground-FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]309 Kb
Download this file (April-Battleground-Graphs.pdf)Graphs[ ]1635 Kb
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/April-Battleground-Memo.pdf)Memo[ ]484 Kb

Last month, virtually all House Republicans voted for Paul Ryan's latest budget plan(“The Path to Prosperity")and according to the latest battleground survey by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps and Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund, they will pay the price in November.[1] In this survey of 1000 likely voters in the 56 most competitive Republican-held districts, the climate has shifted in favor of the Democrats.  Voters view the Democratic Party more favorably than the Republican Party, the President is viewed far more favorably than Mitt Romney, and both the President and congressional Democrats have made gains on the ballot since last September.

Read more... [Democrats Gaining in Battleground and Ryan Budget Could Finish the Job]
 
Women Push Back in the Battleground
Wednesday, April 18 2012

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | ryan | women | wvwvaf

Attachments:
Download this file (040412_WVWV_FQ.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]92 Kb
Download this file (WVWVAF-battleground-women-summary.pdf)Memo[ ]441 Kb

In 2010, Republicans won the women's vote for the first time in 30 years. Republicans rewarded this support with a raft of legislation hostile to the interests of women, beginning with one of their first pieces of legislation, H.R. 3, which attempted to redefine rape to deny emergency contraceptive services to crime victims. For much of 2011, women did not seem to notice. This may be changing. The Republicans' more recent decision to reignite the culture war, boorish comments by a radio talk show host, and a budget proposal and debate that aims dead-square against the economic interests of many women in this country may have awakened the women's vote. Women are starting to push back. A recent Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund survey in the Congressional battleground shows Democrats making significant gains among women in districts held by Republican incumbents. In the Republican-held districts where we have data from last year, Democrats picked up a net 10 points among women since December and now lead by 4 points.

Read more... [Women Push Back in the Battleground]
 
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