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June 18, 2018

Riling Up the Base May Backfire on...

This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018.   Political commentators and strategists write...
June 20, 2018

The Broad Support for Taxing the...

By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20,...
July 13, 2018

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue...

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy...

Battleground Surveys
Analysis: Democratic Congressional Candidates Pull Ahead; Obama Competitive
Wednesday, October 29 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | mccain | Mountain West | obama | Palin | Republican Party

Democrats are on the brink of making historic gains in swing Mountain West Congressional districts. Four years ago in these 11 targeted districts, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry lost by 15 points and Democratic Congressional candidates lost by an average of 23 points. Now, however, a sea change has occurred as Obama is nearly tied with McCain (trailing by just thee points – 45 – 48 percent) and Democrats lead in the aggregate vote (50 – 45 percent in the named Congressional vote).[1] Even more encouraging is the fact that Democratic candidates lead in districts currently held by a Republican (48 – 47 percent).

Read more... [Analysis: Democratic Congressional Candidates Pull Ahead; Obama Competitive]
 
Democrats remain strong in Republican battleground congressional seats
Monday, October 27 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party

The latest Democracy Corps weekly tracking poll of the Republican-held Congressional battleground shows Democratic candidates maintaining their strong position with just over a week left before Election Day, even in an extended battleground. Because of their continued strength, for this survey we expanded the battleground to include the 55 most endangered Republican-held districts. They are clearly no longer safe.

Read more... [Democrats remain strong in Republican battleground congressional seats]
 
Congressional Battleground Survey
Friday, October 24 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/bg08102308fq8.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]145 Kb
Read more... [Congressional Battleground Survey]
 
Maximizing the Congressional Vote
Thursday, October 23 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | Democrats | house | incumbents | Republican Party | Winnables

Attachments:
Access this URL (http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/congressional-targeting-102308.pdf)Memo[ ]56 Kb

The Democratic congressional candidates have made key gains in the fifty most vulnerable Republican seats over the last month, but an analysis of the almost 5,000 interviews shows that there are emerging targets that can tilt the balance further.

Read more... [Maximizing the Congressional Vote]
 
Closing the Deal
Wednesday, October 22 2008

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | interviews | mccain | obama

Attachments:
Download this file (closing-the-deal_102208.pdf)Memo[ ]67 Kb

Based on more than 3,000 interviews over the course of the past three weeks among likely voters in the key battleground states that will settle the Electoral College, this report shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by 9 points (51 to 42 percent) and significantly over performing Democrats' 4-point edge on party identification. As the campaigns prepare their closing arguments, Stan Greenberg, James Carville and Ana Iparraguirre have identified the key groups that the Obama campaign needs to target in order to realize their potential, prevent erosion and mobilize supporters.

Read more... [Closing the Deal]
 
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