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Not so fast: 2014 Congressional Battleground Very Competitive
Thursday, June 20 2013
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor bg memo 062113 FINAL.pdf)Memo[June 2013 BG memo]945 Kb
Download this file (dcor.bg.fq.061313.public.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[FQ June 2013 Battleground]262 Kb
Download this file (dcor.bg.graphs.062013.v6.pdf)Graphs[June 2013 BG graphs]1487 Kb

The first Democracy Corps Congressional Battleground survey of the most competitive House races will challenge serious commentary and the informed presumptions about the 2014 election.  Analysts, pundits, and commentators have concluded that there will be fewer seats in play in 2014 and that neither party is likely to upset the current balance.  To be honest, this poll surprised us. It shows Democrats could at least replicate the net gain of 8 seats they achieved in 2012 – and that Republicans are exposed as the country tires of Tea Party gridlock, Obamacare repeal efforts, threats to Medicare and Social Security, and politicians protecting the richest.[1]  The parties’ strongest attacks, including on health care, produce big gains for Democrats – bigger shifts than we have seen in a long time.  In the past, that has been a precursor to future gains.

Read more... [Not so fast: 2014 Congressional Battleground Very Competitive]
 
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