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Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts
Tuesday, October 27 2009

Tags: battleground | democracy corps | house | incumbents | obama

With Charlie Cook and Republican leaders raising the prospect of Democrats losing control of the Congress, we thought it important to expand the battleground early and determine whether a loss of 41 seats was in the offing based on current polling or whether Democrats are even facing losses greater than the norm for an off-year election.  We expanded our 40-seat Democratic battleground to 55 in addition to the 20 Republican districts we’ve been polling in – and expanded our sample size to 2,000.[1]

Read more... [Analysis: Anti-incumbent mood persists across marginal districts]
 
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