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Obama regains lead in the race: the best closing argument
Monday, October 22 2012
Attachments:
Download this file (dcor.ecn.fq.102112.release.pdf)Frequency Questionnaire[ ]165 Kb
Download this file (dcor.ecnp.graphs.pol.102212.web.pdf)Graphs[ ]1083 Kb
Download this file (dcor.econ.10222012.memo.FINAL.pdf)Memo[ ]452 Kb

 The latest national likely voter survey for Democracy Corps has Obama back to his 49 to 46 percent lead, with 2 percent volunteering a third party candidate.  There are only 3 percent undecided.  While nearly all the other polls show a closer race, we have a lot of confidence in this survey.[1]  When all is said and done, this may be the year when polling had to catch up to the rapidly changing ways people communicate.  This survey is one-third cell phones and, as with all our likely voter surveys, it screens for participation and past vote, and the demographics reflect our conservative projection of likely voter demographics. 

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